In conversation with news.bwin.com/en/ editor Chris Bryant, Will Boot and Ryan Maguire argue the respective cases for Swansea and West Brom ahead of today’s Premier League clash at the Liberty Stadium.
CB: The obvious question first. Which team is going to win?
RM: At 33/20, West Brom are a mouth-watering price to pile the misery on winless Swansea. They claimed an away win at newly promoted Norwich last week and should have claimed victory by a wider margin, hitting the post and missing a penalty in the process. They may only be in their second season back amongst the big boys but there is enough quality in their squad to bat away the goal-shy threat from the Swans. Peter Odemwingie and Shane Long have both found the net already this season, unlike their opponents’ entire squad.
WB: Swansea might be winless, but they’ve shown impressive defensive resilience – just one goal conceded in the last three league games. Not only that, but they’re creating plenty of chances to score – they just haven’t found the back of the net yet. Expect that to change this afternoon, with the Swans’ impressive record at the Liberty Stadium likely to work in their favour – they had the best home record in the Championship last season. And at 33/20 – the same price as West Brom – a home win holds value.
CB: Swansea have don’t concede too many at home but haven’t scored in the league yet – are goals on the cards this afternoon?
RM: With Swansea scoring the sum total of zero goals in their four league encounters thus far, only a moron would look beyond West Brom for goalscorer prices. Long has started life in the Premier League impressively, scoring against both Manchester United and Chelsea. He is 11/2 to find the net first and his movement could cause Swansea all sorts of problems. In Graham Dorrans and James Morrison, West Brom have two fantastic set-piece takers and that makes Paul Scharner a tempting 14/1 shot. The Austrian is dangerous in the air and may prevail against Swansea’s relatively small side.
WB: A moron? Don’t sit on the fence or anything Ryan… as it happens I fancy Swansea to score. And I’m backing Danny Graham to grab the first and only goal of the game at odds of 11/2. True, he hasn’t been able to hit a cow’s backside with a banjo so far this season, but 27 goals last season is more illustrate of his pedigree and he can break his duck today.
CB: So what do you think the score is going to be?
RM: Swansea’s inability to find the net so far this season has been alarming and the pressure is only going to increase on their strikers and in particular record signing Danny Graham. Meanwhile, West Brom have looked assured at the back and have conceded only once in their last two games. They managed only two clean sheets last season which may explain why they are available at 333/100 to win to nil but they are a different prospect now. Hodgson’s management is all about organisation and his intention to tighten the ship was been signalled with the impressive loan signing of Ben Foster. Scott Carson made countless errors in the previous term and his back line soon lost all confidence in him. Now this problem has been fixed, West Brom have made themselves tougher to beat and Swansea may struggle to find the net once again.
RM: There is a caveat to the organisation that Hodgson has imbued his team with since getting the chance to stamp his blueprint on the side – they do not score as many goals any more. They have found the net only once in every league game so far this season. Old habits die hard and if both teams play to form, 1-0 to West Brom will be nailed on at 7/1.
WB: Swansea only let in 11 league goals at the Liberty Stadium last season and have yet to concede at home this season. So will West Brom score? No – and the Swans are 2/1 to keep a clean sheet. Will Swansea score? That’s a harder one to call, but I’m going to stick my neck out and say yes – and odds of 17/50 suggest this is likely. The Swans had some good chances to break their Premier League goalscoring duck in their first two matches, and should have put at least one away against Arsenal at the Emirates last week. With this in mind, Brendan Rodgers’ men are the more likely to win to nil, with bwin also pricing this at 333/100.
CB: Any final thoughts before we go?
RM: A very tasty special double price is being offered on the result combined with the over/under goals market. Of the eight Premier League games involving either of these sides, five have contained one goal or less and therefore less than 2.5 goals looks a certainty. The opportunity to double that up with West Brom’s clearly superior chances at a price of 17/4 looks like the bet of the century. Pile on accordingly.
WB: Seriously, where did you get this joker from? He’s cracking me up. Bet on the century? The one good thing is that he’s doing all the hard work for me – a great stat there about the likelihood of there being fewer than 2.5 goals. It’s just a shame he can’t see Swansea are going to win this one. Back the Welsh side to win with there being no more than three goals in the game at the same price of 17/4.
CB: I’m looking forward to these two being paired up again…
New customers can register here to claim their free £25 bet or click here to see all our Premier League odds.
Follow us on Twitter @bwinbetting