In our latest Shouting the Odds piece, Sam Cale fights Chelsea’s corner, while Andrew Roach take up the Everton side. Bwinbetting editor Chris Bryant is again asking the questions.
CB: An appetising evening kick-off in store at Stamford Bridge this evening then. Which way is it going to go?
SC: Although Everton are Chelsea’s bogey side – they haven’t won in the league against the Toffees since April 2008 – I can’t see Chelsea not winning. They are currently third in the league, having only dropped points in a draw with Stoke and a recent defeat at Old Trafford against Manchester United. But in their last game they beat Bolton 5-1 and for another win, odds are available at 7/20.
AR: I think Everton have every chance of getting something from the match. The Toffees haven’t lost to Chelsea in any competitions since 2009 so this stellar record would give punters a good reason to back Everton at 8-1. However, with the fixture producing four draws in the last six, a sharing of the spoils is more likely and this is at odds of 7/2.
CB: There have been plenty of relatively low-scoring affairs between these two in recent times – are we in for another one?
SC: I actually have a feeling there’s going to be goals in this game, and that’s because Fernando Torres won’t be playing! Seriously though, in four of Chelsea’s seven league games there have been over 3.5 goals. You can get good odds for this to happen again (33/20). In their last two games, they have managed to score nine goals, with five away at Bolton and in their last home game, they beat newly promoted Swansea 4-1.
AR: The match will be a close-run thing. Everton don’t score many goals these days, but they always make it diifficult for the top teams with their strong defence, based around the likes of Sylvain Distin and Phil Jagielka. Having said that, Chelsea’s attacking prowess means they should at least score, so I’m going to go for David Moyes’ men to register a shock 2-1 win – a price of is pretty tempting.
SC: Following on from what I mentioned earlier, I think Chelsea will take it in a high-scoring game. At good value of 10/1, I’m predicting them to win 3-1. It is their most popular result in recent times, with this occurring in four of their last 20 games, and they have also scored three in six out of those 20 games. There is a chance that Everton will score, as they Chelsea have only kept a clean sheet once this season, and that was on the opening day of the season in their 0-0 draw with Stoke.
CB: Who do you expect to hit the back of the net at the Bridge?
SC: I think Frank Lampard will produce another good performance for Chelsea this week, to wfurther answer his critics. After being substituted at half time at Old Trafford, the media were tipping this to be the end for the midfielder, but then he goes and gets a hat trick against Bolton. He didn’t feature much for England against Montenegro so he will be fresh this weekend, and I believe he can cause Everton damage by scoring two goals or more, which is priced at 11/2. This season, he is currently Chelsea’s top league goalscorer with four goals.
AR: Everton have scored six goals this season and these have each come from different players so they have plenty of potential goalscorers. One player worth keeping an eye on is Louis Saha. The Frenchman has scored four goals in the last four meetings between the clubs and at odds of 2/1, he would be a likely choice to continue this run. Another who merits consideration is Tim Cahill. The Australian was Everton’s top goalscorer in the league last season with nine goals so at similar anytime odds of 2/1, he could be a decent option.
CB: Anything else you’d like to add?
SC: Chelsea to score in both halves has cauight my eye at 21/20. In four of their league games so far they have managed this feat. With players such as Lampard and Juan Mata who can unlock a defence for Didier Drogba, Daniel Sturridge and Nicolas Anelka to finish it off, they have the quality to have a number of chances, so there is a strong possibility that this will happen.
AR: So far this season, Everton have scored four out of their six goals this season in the second half, which means that the team would be a smart choice to back to score again after the interval. If you also consider that The Toffees can look to players such as Dinyar Bilyaletdinov and Ross Barkley as creative substitutes, Everton will pose an attacking threat to the final whistle and getting on them to score first in the second half could be an interesting bet at 17/5.
CB: Thanks very much for your thoughts lads, as ever. Let’s see how it pans out!
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