In our latest instalment of Shouting the Odds, Chris Quinn talks up Man City’s chances of success against Everton in the Premier League this weekend, while Matt Wilson puts forward the case for the Toffees. Asking the questions is bwinbetting’s Chris Bryant. You can also read a full betting preview of the match here.
CB: So the seemingly unstoppable City steam train spluttered at Fulham last week, but surely they will get back to winning ways against Everton?
CQ: I think so. Everton are a good team and have upset the big boys before on a number of occasions, but City are in rampant form. Their odds of 2/5 don’t necessarily scream of value, but it’s a bet that will probably come in as they should be able to see off the Toffees with relative ease.
MW: There’s definitely a whiff of Rasputin about Everton, as they seem impossible to kill off despite all that’s thrown at them. And while losing Mikel Arteta and having little money to spend might not exactly equate to being fed cyanide-laced cakes and being thrown into icy water, the Toffees certainly possess impressive powers of resilience. They’re priced at 27/4 in the 3Way market to continue their good fortune against a Manchester City side that they have a remarkably good record against, but the draw at 17/5 is probably a better punt.
CB: City have been scoring plenty of goals at home so far, so who is likely to come up trumps for them on Saturday?
CQ: I know it’s an obvious choice, but it would be madness not to back one of the Premier League’s in-form strikers to open the scoring in this game. Sergio Aguero has broken the deadlock in his last two Premier League games and scored the first goal after coming on as a substitute against Swansea. With eight goals to his name already, I’ll be on him in the first scorer market at 3/1.
MW: For me, there’s one really appealing choice in the goalscorer markets and that’s Tim Cahill. OK he hasn’t scored yet this season, or even this year, but the last goal he did score was a winner away at City in December 2010. He’s 5/2 to score on Saturday but I’d go for him to score first at 9/1. He’s opened the scoring in his last three games away at City and four of his nine goals last season were the first of the game.
CB: Cahill is certainly due a goal, no doubt about it. Can we expect plenty of goals as a whole in this contest?
CQ: Well, all the Citizens’ games have contained a minimum of three goals this season, and with City not offering huge value to win the game, it is worth doubling up the home win with an over 2.5 goals bet at 21/20. Everton’s last two games have both contained four goals, so they fit into the mould needed for a high-scoring game. Also, City have scored in every second half of their league matches this season and have only failed to find the net once in the first half. City’s goal threat means that they are always likely to score, so 11/10 on them doing so in both halves is well worth a look.
MW: There are definitely goals in this game but maybe not necessarily from the team you’d expect them from. Everton have scored twice against City in five of their last seven encounters home and away, including the last four games between the two. What’s particularly impressive though is their record at Eastlands. Moyes’ men have put two goals past their Mancunian counterparts in three of the last four times they’ve faced City away from home. Odds on Everton scoring more than 1.5 goals this time around are 18/5, which could prove tempting, particularly given that they’ve achieved that very feat in their last two league games as well.
CB: And how about the half-time/full-time market? Anything of note to discuss there?
CQ: Well, as I said before, City have scored in the first half of all but one of their Premier League games so far and they’ve gone on to win the first half in all of those fixtures. Home advantage will see an attacking team from Roberto Mancini and an early goal should be followed by a win. City leading at half-time and finishing the job in the second is a steal at 19/20.
MW: I’m not so sure about that. I feel I should point out that Everton have been winning at half-time in their last three away games against City, and in four out of the last six encounters between the two teams, both home and away. The Toffees can be backed at a lengthy 23/4 to win the first half, which must be worth a small flutter.
CB: You certainly seem confident that Everton can cause a shock here, Matt. What scoreline would you recommend backing?
MW: Despite what you guys might think, I am no fool and understand that City are a far more imposing beast this time around than in recent seasons. Everton may have won the last four games straight between the two sides but I think they’ll be lucky to make it five. That doesn’t mean that they won’t get anything out of the game, though. A 2-2 draw at 33/2 could be a good bet.
CB: By my calculations, new punters could win £437.50 if they use their free £25 bet on that and it comes in – not bad.
CQ: Sorry Matt, but I’m going to go for City to win 3-1, which is available at a juicy 10/1. It should be an entertaining game but City will surely be too strong for Moyes’ boys.
CB: OK guys, that’s it for now. Thanks for your thoughts.
New customers can register here to claim a free £25 bet or click here to see all our Premier League odds.
Follow us on Twitter @bwinbetting