They say teams are at their most vulnerable after they’ve just scored, but are any side more susceptible to losing after they’ve just won than Arsenal?
Their recent history has been punctuated with poor results after decent ones and even after slamming in seven against Newcastle on Saturday, a trip to St Mary’s to play Southampton looks like a banana skin for a team who are perilously unpredictable.
In theory, the Gunners should be at their highest ebb of a fluctuating season after chalking up four successive league wins while scoring 13 goals, but even still, I thought they were wholly unconvincing against both Wigan and Newcastle.
Demba Ba’s physicality again rocked the Wenger boys and at 3-3 with 20 minutes to go at the Emirates, the Barcodes looked the side most likely to go on and get the points.
They’ll be up against it again with a resurgent Saints likely to give them both barrels on Tuesday night and I for one can see the hosts taking points off the Londoners.
Nigel Adkins’ team have recovered from a sluggish start to life in the Premier League by winning three and drawing four of their last nine games and bwin’s 3way football betting market has them well adrift at 15/4 to see in the new year with a bang.
Unsurprisingly, Arsenal are big 13/20 favourites for the win given their league position and recent run, but I think this will be a tough test and 29/10 for the draw could be a cracking bit of business.
Southampton have only conceded three goals at home in their last five games, meaning Arsenal are unlikely to be given the run of the park afforded to them by Reading a fortnight ago and if you are following my line of thinking that the Saints will get something, you could do worse than get on them for a win/draw double at 6/5.
If Arsenal can click, then they have the quality to get the job done and when they win, they invariably do so with a decent supply of goals.
Therefore if you fancy Arsenal to make a mockery of my words, the Gunners with over 2.5 goals is 27/20 and the 2-1, 3-1 or 4-1 Arsenal triumph is way out at 16/5.
However, I’ve just got a feeling that Southampton on a wet and windy night will set about the Gunners and buoyed by a strong recent sequence, a tight defence at home and always good for a goal, I fancy them to be up for the point at 29/10.
Punters registering with bwin can claim a free £20 bet and placing this on Southampton and Arsenal to draw would return a cool £78 if successful.
If you fancy a draw, then a market which has caught my eye in recent weeks is ‘run of play’ and either side to take the lead and the game to end in a draw is 15/4, which is a massive price if you think it’ll be a score draw.