With Diego Costa’s £32m move from Atletico Madrid to Chelsea all done bar the shouting, the bwin odds boffins have set about pricing up his blue-shirted exploits ahead of the 2013/14 campaign.
Among the many wagers on offer (click here for the full run down) the 7/10 about him bagging under 20.5 Premier League goals looks buying money.
Read on for the trio of persuaders as to why Costa will fall short in his bid to reach the arbitrary mark of man-sized striking contributions.
Sign up at bwin.com today for a £30 free bet that cops to a £21 profit if he emulates some huge names in failure.
The last two strikers to arrive at Chelsea for £30m-plus hit ten goals between them in their first campaigns.
Fernando Torres netted six times in 32 games in his debut full season in west London, following in the footsteps of Andriy Shevchenko, who managed a mere four in 30 appearances in 2006/07.
Costa has bagged more than ten league goals in just one of the seven seasons that comprise his career to date.
If Chelsea fans weren’t thinking it already, the Spazilian’s World Cup impression of Tyler Duerden watching the city explode at the end of Fight Club would surely have raised the question “was he just a one season wonder?”
A new league, new teammates, a new language – all issues that will far from assist the 25-year-old’s attempts to pick up where he left off.
Just one Chelsea striker has bagged over 20.5 league goals in the last 12 campaigns at Stamford Bridge.
Didier Drogba is the only man to hop the 20-strike barrier since the days of Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink, with 29 goals in 2009/10 and 20 in 2006/07.
Just how rare those achievements were, even in the context of the post-Roman Abramovich years, is illustrated that prior to the twosome mentioned, eighties legend Kerry Dixon was the last man to bag a double decade, back in 1989/90.