The last team in the Premier League with an ever-winning home record this season take on a promoted side rocked by internal divisions and Malky Mackay’s Cardiff should be put to bed early at top-flight giants Chelsea, with the 13/20 about a HT/FT win for the home side looking like a licence to print money.
Chelsea are 11/50 to make it 12 Premier League points out of 12 at home this term, with the 2012/13 Championship victors priced up at 23/2 for an unforeseeable win and the draw is 19/4.
The Blues have won nine of their last ten home Premier League games, with six of those victories paying out HT/FT win backers.
Jose Mourinho’s return to west London has seen fortress Stamford Bridge re-established, with Chelsea winning their first three Premier League home games this term and rippling the net six times for the concession of just one Christian Benteke strike against Aston Villa.
The last knockings of Rafa Benitez’s short reign on the King’s Road were also notable for home successes and Chelsea’s imperiousness when hosting has seen them grab first-half goals in all but two games in that ten-match run.
Cardiff have scored just one first-half goal so far in their debut Premier League campaign.
Centre-half Steven Caulker’s header in the 12th minute of his side’s 2-1 win at Fulham is the only goal the Bluebirds have managed in the opening 45 minutes of any top-flight game since their historic promotion in May.
The Welsh side also went into the break in arrears against West Ham in their 3-2 Capital One Cup loss at Upton Park recently, despite Craig Noone curling a left-foot shot past Hammers reserve keeper Adrian on the stroke of half-time and were made to wait until the 61st-minute for their opener in the previous round win at Accrington.
Malky Mackay’s side only won one of their last five away games in the Championship last season and have been poor on the road this term.
Cardiff’s only away win in the Premier League came recently just down the road from Stamford Bridge, but a smash-and-grab 90th-minute Jordan Mutch raid at hapless relegation candidates Fulham hardly points to trouble in store for the Cottagers’ local rivals Chelsea.
The win at Accrington is their only other victory on the road since the middle of March and with Mourinho still unbeaten at home in the Premier League in two spells as manager of the Blues, Mackay’s men may be better off saving themselves for their next top-flight fixture – an eminently winnable game at struggling Norwich – rather than blowing a gasket against the Europa League holders.