During my career as a writer and a journalist I have been given some pretty difficult briefs. I have tried to sell home business training to network marketers, I have had to explain complex financial algorithms to debtors and I have even been tasked with trying to make cricket sound exciting.
But being asked to write a betting preview for a QPR match for the second time in a week probably tops the list.
Inconsistent QPR could do literally anything. The same team that lost 4-0 at home to Bolton and 6-0 away to Fulham this season also managed to do something that Manchester United, Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham have all failed to do this term – win at the Britannia Stadium against Stoke.
I was actually at the DW Stadium earlier in the season to witness Rangers surrender meekly to Wigan in a 2-0 defeat, yet watched on from my armchair in astonishment as they beat Chelsea at Loftus Road two months later.
As if things weren’t cloudy enough already, Sunderland’s own form doesn’t really help to clarify matters. They have only won once away from home all season, but QPR have only won once on their own patch, so which way this one will go really is anyone’s guess.
But don’t despair. There are always good bets out there for those of you willing to look hard enough and I have been trawling page after page of statistics to uncover the hidden gems that are going to help you make some money.
You can get odds of 31/20 on Sunderland scoring the first goal in the second half, which the stats suggest could be a great bet, or odds of 17/10 on the Black Cats scoring more goals in the second half than in the first.
Bwinbetting’s Stats Centre will show you that QPR are the Premier League’s worst-performing side in the second half of matches, coming bottom of a hypothetical league table based only on second-half results.
This is a drop of five places from their actual Premier League position of 15th and a fall of 11 places from the giddy position of ninth that they would occupy if every game this season had finished at half-time.
Sunderland, on the other hand, rise five places to eleventh in the second-half league table, but fall two places to 18th in a league table based only on first-half results.
With the stats suggesting that Sunderland are poor in the first half while QPR fade away in the second, we could at last have some potential here. Sunderland look unlikely to be ahead at half-time, so taking odds of 39/20 for QPR to be winning at the break could yield success, as could picking odds of 11/10 for the game to be tied at the interval.
On a similar note, you can get odds of 31/20 on Sunderland scoring the first goal in the second half, which the stats suggest could be a great bet, or odds of 17/10 on the Black Cats scoring more goals in the second half than in the first.
But perhaps the best value in this one is to back Sunderland to win the second half at odds of 21/10. Using your free £25 bet for joining bwin.com to back this outcome will return £77.50 if successful.
For those of you who are unperturbed by the erratic form of both teams and want to have a crack at the 3Way football betting market, QPR are 7/5 to win, Sunderland are priced at 19/10, while the draw is 9/4.
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