Despite trailing Golden Boot pace setter Harry Kane by a solitary strike going into the Premier League’s final day, Leicester City’s Jamie Vardy finds himself as rank outsider to claim the accolade.
A price of 5/1 says Vardy, who has 24 top-tier goals this term, adds the shiny shoe to an impressive silverware collection that already includes a title winners’ medal and a Football Writers’ Player of the Year trophy, though his England colleague Kane remains clear favourite at 3/5.
Sandwiched between the two is Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero, who, akin to Vardy, trails 25-goal Kane by one and can be backed to be top scorer at 11/4.
However, with the prospect of all three strikers ending the campaign with identical tallies a strong one, a punt on Leicester’s speedy line leader is a must ahead of game 38.
Should the trio finish the season honours even, bwin will pay out on all three, having divided their initial odds by the same number.
In this case, Vardy’s price would fall to 3/5, while the others would slip into near-nominal territory, but there’s cause to believe the son of Sheffield can claim the prize outright.
Aguero can almost certainly be ruled out. The diminutive Argentine has scored in six straight top-flight outings, but with the Citizens facing Swansea City on the final day, stats say this run of form will come to an end.
The Swans were the first foe he faced in English football following his 2011 transfer from Atletico Madrid and he commemorated the occasion with a brace.
Eight renewals have taken place since, with Aguero featuring in five and failing to find the net in every instance.
Kane is in good form and, in all probability, would have to steer clear of the scoresheet if Vardy was to win the Golden Boot, but the psychological ramifications of losing the title were evident in Spurs’ defeat to Southampton. They’re unlikely to be firing on all cylinders against a Newcastle side who could be in need of three points to survive on the last day.
Vardy has rediscovered his shooting boots in recent weeks, bagging five goals either side of a two-match suspension and, against a lackadaisical Chelsea defence that contrived to concede three goals to Sunderland last time out, his striking twice to swipe the top scorer laurels from Kane can’t be discounted.