Swansea were last victorious at the Liberty Stadium in March and with a Sunderland side sure to be keen as mustard to prove themselves under new boss Gus Poyet in town they seem ripe for an upset.
However, the hosts form against weaker rivals makes them worth backing for victory at 11/20, with the Stadium of Light outfit 5/1 and a draw in south Wales 29/10.
Meetings with Manchester United, Liverpool and Arsenal account for the Welsh side’s poor home form.
It was a far from ideal to start their Premier League campaign with a visit from the reigning champions, followed by meetings with table-topping form teams in each of their next two league games at the Liberty.
Three Europa League victories – with the first two coming by four goals or more – suggest that the Swans have a particular taste for feasting on the lesser sides in their own back yard.
Swansea are yet to drop a point against sides in the bottom half of the table this season.
When faced with sides lacking in early season identity and confidence the Welsh side have profited handsomely, with away victories over West Brom and Crystal Palace, both of whom were in the lower reaches of the Premier League at the time.
That brace of 2-0 victories show they have little problem subduing misfiring attacks while a form-line through Palace suggests that they should be streets ahead of the Black Cats.
The Eagles’ sole win of the season in all competitions came against the Wearsiders by a 3-1 margin, whereas Michael Laudrup’s men were able to dispose of the south east London club with contemptuous ease.
Sunderland have won just twice in their last 22 Premier League games.
It’s an ill-starred sequence that has only been ameliorated by draws on six occasions with only one of those sticking-plaster stalemates coming in seven games this season.
The Black Cats’ squad is arguably weaker now than when the lion’s share of those failures were perpetrated last term and it will take more than one game for Poyet to turn them into a winning team.