Liverpool new arrival Lazar Markovic is a solid 17/20 bet to emulate the likes of Helder Postiga, Nani, Jose Dominguez, Hugo Porfirio and even Cristiano Ronaldo in his first term at Anfield.
How? By netting less than 5.5 Premier League goals in his debut season in England.
Markovic has found the net no fewer than five times in each of his three campaigns of regular league football to date, but seven strikes has been the zenith of his output.
That septet was notched in his farewell year at Partizan in his native land, a level of competition some way below even that of Portugal.
Life in the Premier League will be a further significant step up in class for the 20-year-old.
Of the aforementioned fellow Primeira Liga émigrés whose managers kept faith in them after moderate freshman seasons, there was no immediate incline in goal-getting.
It was not until Cristiano Ronaldo’s third successive Manchester United campaign of a minimum 29 starts that he netted more than five times.
Likewise, his fellow Sporting alumnus Nani, who was four terms deep when he finally bagged more than three times in a top-flight vintage.
Furthermore, it’s a big assumption to suggest that Markovic will adjust sufficiently quickly to Liverpudlian life to post as many appearances as his fellow Lisbon scholars during his maiden voyage.
One need only look at failed Kop acquisitions Luis Alberto and Iago Aspas for evidence that it’s not the easiest of adaptations.
Competition for places in the three behind Daniel Sturridge is fierce too, with Adam ‘Dalai’ Lallana, Philippe Coutinho, Jordan Henderson, Raheem Sterling and even Fabio Borini hungry for starts.
Sign up at bwin.com for a £30 free bet that lands a £25.50 balance booster if Markovic hits five goals or less in his first season at Anfield.
Alternatively those Reds of a more positive inclination can invest in him leap-frogging the 5.5 strike mark at identical odds of 17/20.