Wigan Athletic’s form before the international break was inconsistent at best as they mixed outstanding performances such as in their two 4-1 away wins in the Capital One Cup with lacklustre losses at Manchester United and at home to Fulham.
In fact, their final game before the latest round of World Cup qualifiers encapsulated that unpredictability as they blitzed high-flying Everton for a half before letting slip a 2-0 lead to draw, but they have shown enough so far to suggest they can cause an upset at one of manager Roberto Martinez’s happiest hunting grounds.
Martinez set the wheels in motion for Swansea City’s impressive climb up the English football ladder as he won the League One title and established their passing philosophy during his tenure at the Liberty Stadium from 2003 to 2006.
The Spaniard hasn’t lost in South Wales on any return since and as such, Wigan look good value at 14/5 in bwin’s 3Way football betting market to emerge with a win or at least claim a point at 12/5, despite the home side remaining odds-on favourites at 19/20.
In fairness, that favourites tag isn’t without good reason as the Swans lost just four times at home last season and got off to a good start this term with an opening 3-0 win over West Ham.
But they’ve failed to claim another victory on their own patch since and key to this decline has been falling behind, with Sunderland, Everton and Reading all opening the scoring against them.
It’s 3/2 for Wigan to repeat the trick and 11/5 for the goal to again arrive in the first half, with their joint-top scorers for this season, Franco Di Santo and Arouna Kone, priced at 17/2 and 6/1 respectively to deliver it.
The Latics haven’t lost when Di Santo has scored this season and there’s been two Latics goals in each of those games, so those looking for a long-odds punt could do worse than a scorecast bet on Di Santo to score first in a 2-1 Wigan victory at 66/1.
New customers backing this selection with the free £20 bet they receive when registering with bwin would stand to win an incredible £1,340 if successful.
But with Wigan losing over 75% of the games in which they fell behind last year, should Swansea score early then Michael Laudrup will feel confident in their ability to convert a half-time lead into a full-time victory at 2/1.
Of course, there’s always the possibility that both sides’ pretty passing styles cancel each other out and there’s a repeat of last season’s 0-0 draw at 15/2.
Yet for my money, a little Martinez magic should see the Latics over the line, so get on a Wigan win at the very accommodating price of 14/5, with viable alternatives provided by an away win in a game featuring under 2.5 goals at 7/1 and the associated punts mentioned earlier.