Considering that Manchester United have won five Premier League matches on the spin, a feat that pace-setting Chelsea haven’t even been able to achieve this term, the opportunity to back them at 83/100 to beat a Liverpool side distraught at their group-stage exit from the Champions League ranks an incredible bet.
The visiting Reds are on offer at 13/4, while the draw weighs in at 5/2, but neither price need come into consideration when there’s such good value to be had siding with the on-song hosts.
Astute attacking outfits such as Arsenal, Stoke and Southampton have all fallen to the Red Devils in recent weeks, while Crystal Palace and Hull (two teams not noted for their prowess in the final third) were unable to breach their backline on this imperious streak.
It may sound harsh, but based on current form, Liverpool have to be categorised as an inept an establishment in the goal-getting department as the latter duo.
They’ve scored more than one goal in a Premier League match just once (against bottom of the table Leicester) since beating QPR (who scored two own goals that day) 3-2 back in October; six games have passed when they haven’t rustled the net on multiple occasions.
Louis van Gaal’s men haven’t lost on their own patch since the opening day of the season, winning six of the seven games to be contested since.
But arguably the most telling factor in support of a home win is the Champions League hangover effect.
Manchester City offer the most recent examples of sides knocked out of Europe’s premier competition losing a high profile match that followed their final group-stage encounter.
The Citizens were beaten 3-2 by Man Utd in 2012/13 after exiting early, while they lost 2-1 at Chelsea 12 months prior to this after suffering an identical continental fate.
Liverpool have also experienced this particular hoodoo, losing 2-1 at home to Arsenal in 2009/10 after Fiorentina beat them in their concluding group game.