Ahead of the weekend’s Manchester Derby, we’ve had our finest minds trawling through this season’s stats to ascertain exactly when the goals will start flying in at Old Trafford.
These numbers are based on Manchester United’s record at home in the Premier League this term, alongside Manchester City’s road figures so far in the campaign.
With bwin.com offering markets on goal times in quarter-hour blocks, there’s money to be made by eagle-eyed punters out there.
The most fertile 15-minute period, based on our metric, is from the half-hour mark until half time, when the hosts have bagged ten home Premier League goals in 2014/15, with the visitors notching seven on the road.
You can have 27/20 on there being at least one goal between the 31st-45th minutes. Louis van Gaal’s men have managed as much in seven of their past ten Premier League fixtures in front of the faithful, including last time out at home to Aston Villa.
Add in the fact that this time segment is City’s joint-second worst of the six for conceding and the bet screams value.
United’s cross-town ‘noisy neighbours’ have been more prolific later in matches on their travels, with 11 of Manuel Pellegrini’s side’s 32 top-flight away goals coming in the last 15 minutes of fixtures, including last time out in the 2-1 loss at Crystal Palace.
However, with all but two of City’s post-75-minute efforts scored before Xmas, 21/20 about at least one more at Old Trafford may not be as prudent a bet as it seems at first glance.
If form is anything to by (and it should be) the Red Devils rate an outstanding bet to win their sixth Premier League home game on the spin, and 11th in 12 top-flight Theatre of Dreams outings, at 33/20.
The Premier League champions have become pathetic on the road, losing their last four all-competition away fixtures and managing just one victory in seven since the start of 2015.
The Red Devils can put daylight between themselves and City with any kind of home win, after vaulting past Pellegrini and co into third by beating Villa 3-1 last week, with the Chilean’s charges unable to claw back ground at Selhurst Park.
New bwin punters can use their £30 free bet to back over 0.5 goals between the 31st minute and half time when Manchester United take on Manchester City at Old Trafford, which would turn into £49.50 if either side does the business.