Odds: Man Utd: 11/10, The Draw: 12/5, Leicester: 13/5
In case you hadn’t heard, victory at Old Trafford will guarantee Leicester City the Premier League title this weekend.
With Tottenham Hotspur slipping up at home to West Bromwich Albion last time out, the Foxes require just one win from their final three fixtures to be assured of what will be the most miraculous top-tier conquest since its 1992/93 rebrand, if not of all time.
The small matter of beating Manchester United away stands between the Foxes and the prospect of sealing the deal at the earliest possible opportunity and, while this will doubtless be difficult, they look fantastic value for their sizeable odds.
Win, Lose or Draw?
Last weekend’s 4-0 shellacking of Swansea City served as the perfect microcosm for Leicester’s season of probability defiance.
Having drawn the game before, the Foxes had allowed second-place Spurs to move to within five points of the summit and minus suspended star striker Jamie Vardy, speculation that they’d finally capitulate under the pressure of pace setting was rife.
But, with the doubters and detractors watching on, Leicester decimated the Swans to record their most emphatic Premier League win of the season and then sat back to enjoy Spurs squandering two points at home to West Brom.
It’s this persistent flouting of their small-fry reputation that makes ruling out their chances of being crowned champions at Old Trafford, the venue for so many post-Premier League title triumph celebrations, a definitive mug’s game.
Sure, United are in great form with six wins from their last seven across all competitions and no home defeat since January, but the Foxes are flying too.
They’ve claimed maximum points in six of seven top-tier tussles, and have been flawless across three straight road games.
Not a solitary goal has been shipped across these three sojourns and they’ll be confident of making it four against the Red Devils’ less-than-lethal frontline. The Theatre of Dreams regulars have been treated to just 23 home goals all season in the league, a tally ten of United’s peers can best.
By contrast, Leicester have leaked just 16 on the road since the opening day.
What’s more, there is no team in the top flight who fares better against the division’s elite than the east Midlanders.
Their 1.69 points-per-game average when tackling their fellow top-ten dwellers shades United’s 1.62 and, while the hosts have savoured some success against the three top-four teams they’ve entertained so far (they’ve won two, drawn one), Leicester aren’t likely to be scared after beating both Spurs and Manchester City on their travels.
Only the brave will take on the goal stats outlined above with cold, hard cash – this one is going under 2.5 strikes all day.
Six straight games across all competitions at Old Trafford have failed to cross the three-strike threshold, while Leicester have delivered for the under lovers in six of their last eight league matches on the road, including each of their previous three.
The same can be said of the corresponding clash between the pair, which ended 1-1 at the King Power.
Recommended bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 18/25
Who’s going to score?
His brace last weekend meant that 50% of Leonardo Ulloa’s last six strikes this term have come when Vardy hasn’t been on the field.
Similarly, six of his 13 struck last term came when the Sheffield speedster cooling his boots and, boosted by his double-strike salvo last time out, expect the Argentine sharpshooter to do the business again, providing he proves his fitness.
Recommended bet: Leonardo Ulloa to score at any time @ 5/2
There has been more goals scored in the second half of matches in than the first in seven of the last nine Leicester away games.
Recommended bet: More goals in the second half @ 21/20