Liverpool are preparing to host Manchester City in the Premier League only three days after they suffered a cruel penalty shootout loss to the Citizens in the Capital One Cup final.
Willy Caballero provided the spot-kick stopping heroics that saw the trophy head to Manchester and the league clash also looks set to be disappointing for the Reds.
History shows that the loser of the final is not in for a good time when they first meet the victors again either in the same campaign or the following term.
Since 2003, three ties haven’t been repeated for at least a season, but in the other nine outings the team who ended up with a silver medal hasn’t won.
The most popular results between finalists in their next encounter is a draw, with six of those nine games ending level, with 0-0 and 2-2 the most common scorelines having both occurred twice.
Liverpool will know how difficult it is to beat a League Cup winner in their next meeting, having drawn 0-0 with Chelsea in the Champions League after losing 3-2 to the Blues at the Millennium Stadium in 2005.
The Reds are also the last winning finalist to lose to the team they defeated, being stuffed 4-0 by Manchester United after they lifted the trophy in 2003.
Jurgen Klopp’s men, who have only won two of their last nine, won’t have enough about them to end the curse and backing Man City to win or draw at 9/20 would be a sound choice.
Punters looking for a more sizeable return on their investment should consider that all of the last three meetings of previous Capital One Cup finalists have ended level and a stalemate in this game is priced at 23/10 and looks the best bet.
Those looking for an even more lucrative result would be wise to take into account that two of the last three final rematches were 2-2 draws and a repeat of this scoreline comes in at 23/2.