Odds for a 0-0 draw whenever Manchester City venture into town are always immensely inflated due to their plethora of world-class attacking options but reality suggests that punters should be taking the 10/1 price very seriously when they travel to the north-east to meet struggling Sunderland.
Manuel Pellegrini’s men are 10/29 favourites to give their fans a fourth straight victory, while a home win can be punted at 29/4 and the stalemate a very live runner at 4/1.
No Premier League side have drawn more games 0-0 away from home than Manchester City in the last two seasons.
Punters that are backing City to draw 0-0 on the road in the Premier League over the last 18 months will be sitting pretty at the moment with their wallets too big for their pockets.
The Citizens, although being one of the heaviest scorers away from the Etihad Stadium, have racked up five goalless draws in their last 20 matches away from home comforts.
Those figures mean City are drawing 25% of their away matches 0-0 yet the bwin traders regularly set the price for a goalless stalemate at 10/1 or bigger.
It’s time to act on their generosity.
Premier League teams average a draw every four games but City and Sunderland both are currently at a rate of just one in 10. A draw is due.
Of the 20 Premier League games these two sides have been involved in this season, only two have seen the final whistle blown when the scores were level, which is coming in well below the usual average.
Along with lumping on the 0-0 at 10/1, a shrewd way to maximise your profit margins is to wrap yourself in a security blanket by backing the draw outright at 4/1.
There hasn’t been a 0-0 in this fixture since 1934, a run stretching back 71 games.
Only fans with more grey hairs than on Phillip Schofield’s hairdressers’ floor will remember the last time Sunderland and City played out a goal-shy stalemate.
However, these historical trends are there to be broken and when you consider Sunderland have the lowest shooting accuracy in the league and have kept three clean sheets in the last three home meetings with City, that 10/1 for a 0-0 really needs ploughing in to.