Liverpool: 29/20, The Draw: 23/10. Tottenham: 9/5
Trailing the pacesetter by five points with seven games to go is a scenario any Spurs supporter would’ve taken without a moment’s haste last summer.
But when the team they’re on the verge of losing touch with is Leicester City and the usual league-winning protagonists are a long way adrift, the overriding feeling inside Camp Lilywhite will be one of missed opportunity should they not end the campaign as champions.
Any points spilled at this stage are likely to prove fatal to the north Londoners’ hopes of claiming a Premier League title they’ve never had a better chance of winning.
This being the case, a trip to Liverpool is something Spurs and their sickly spate of form could probably do without; two victories since February against Aston Villa and Bournemouth have successfully masked the fact they’re fast running out of steam.
Just like a mother hedgehog coercing younglings to cross a motorway, Mauricio Pochettino guides his tentative troops into must-win territory as the wheels of Jurgen Klopp’s red juggernaut hurtle by.
Win, Lose or Draw?
Stored safely under the heaviest rocks in Spurs’ psyche are dark memories of recent defeats to Liverpool.
For five matches between 2010 and 2012 the Londoners enjoyed their bi-annual meeting with the Merseysiders, winning four and drawing one of their face offs.
Since then, it’s been horror show after horror show, with five Reds wins and a tie in the six fixtures that have fallen. In each of these games, bar their goalless draw in Klopp’s dugout debut, this weekend’s hosts notched at least three times, recording 5-0 and 4-0 scorelines in the process.
It’s not only head-to-head superiority on Liverpool’s side either – they were less than ten minutes away from racking up a fourth straight league success at Southampton last time out and they’ve picked up seven points from nine available when entertaining current top-four teams.
In fact, their away loss at Leicester is the only time the Reds haven’t claimed at least a point from seven versus those currently stationed in the Champions League places.
Spurs have failed to win three of the previous four they’ve played against top-half-dwelling teams, losing two of these, while Southampton and Manchester City are the only teams based above the Premier League equator they’ve visited and beaten.
Evidently there’s not a lot of support for the Lilywhites as they prepare to go digging through the hurt locker.
Recommended bet: Liverpool (-1) to beat Spurs @ 15/4
The Reds and their rich recent history of augmenting their goals-for column at Spurs’ expense points to overs all day.
Each of the previous five Liverpool fixtures have seen three goals or more scored and the same can be said of four of the visitors’ previous five across all competitions.
Furthermore, the net hasn’t bulged enough to reward the overs backers in just three meetings between the pair since 2010/11.
Who’s going to score?
Harry Kane has got four in his last five, rendering the Premier League’s leading marksman an obvious goalscorer pick for most punters.
Given the faith we’ve previously placed in the home team, though, let’s ignore Kane for now and focus on one of his England colleagues.
Not Daniel Sturridge, who regularly failed to cash in when Liverpool have spanked Spurs in recent meetings, but Jordan Henderson.
The former Sunderland star bagged in both meetings between the two in 2013/14, while the man he succeeded as Reds skipper, Steven Gerrard, notched at Anfield and White Hart Lane in their 2014/15 renewals.
Henderson didn’t feature in the corresponding fixture this term, but can be backed to make a return to the scoresheet this weekend at a generous price.
Recommended bet: Henderson to score anytime @ 5/1
Since leaking three against Arsenal in January, Liverpool have conceded multiple goals at base camp just once in eight, keeping five clean sheets along the way across all competitions.
With two blanks in their previous three road games, Spurs aren’t in the form that suggests the hosts won’t improve this record.
Recommended bet: Liverpool to keep a clean sheet @ 11/5