Liverpool must wish they could play in west London every week. Four trips in 2011 have yielded four wins and the Merseysiders have the chance to make it a full house when they head to Craven Cottage to face Fulham in the last Premier League fixture of the weekend on Monday night.
The three victories at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea – two of which that have come in the last fortnight – understandably made more headlines than Liverpool’s victory at Craven Cottage in May but that 5-2 win was one of the best performances of Kenny Dalglish’s 11 months in charge and I strongly fancy Liverpool to leave their favourite part of London with three points once again.
That outcome is 23/20 with bwin and it is definitely something to get on: the draw is 9/4 and Fulham are 47/20.
I’ve been a bit critical of Liverpool this season, but I do feel that there is some momentum being gathered. Since a 4-0 hammering at Tottenham in September, Liverpool’s form reads WWWDDWWDWDW and there is no denying it is an impressive unbeaten run.
Admittedly there have been a couple of frustrating home draws in that sequence, but away from home Liverpool have been incredibly consistent. In the league, that Spurs debacle aside there has been a staggeringly unlucky defeat at Stoke and four wins with an aggregate scoreline of 8-1. Add four Carling Cup away victories at Exeter, Brighton, Stoke and Chelsea and Liverpool have won eight of their ten away games this season – fantastic in anyone’s book and certainly enough to worry an average Fulham side.
Fulham fans must be sick from all the déjà vu. The Cottagers’ form is simply a re-working of seasons gone by: neat and tidy in possession and reasonably tight at the back (16 goals conceded is less than Chelsea and Arsenal), they nevertheless struggle to score with just 15 goals all term.
Six of those came in a thumping home win against Queens Park Rangers, which leaves Fulham with a record of just nine goals in their other twelve matches. That win is also their solitary victory in six home games: Everton and Spurs have left with victories while Aston Villa and Blackburn have escaped with a point.
It is not fearsome home form and even allowing for the long term absence of Lucas (a huge blow as the Brazilian has been an excellent performer for some time now), Liverpool, who have won three of their last four trips to Fulham, is the bet and 23/20 is the tempting price.
A £25 free bet on Liverpool to beat Fulham would return £53.75, with the free bet available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account.
One other bet to consider is on Luis Suarez to hit the back of the net.
The Uruguayan embarrassed Brede Hangeland in the 5-2 win in May and I think he can do so again. Suarez is 9/2 to score first and 6/5 to net anytime.
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