Saturday 29/8/15, Vitality Stadium, 3pm
Odds: Bournemouth 23/20, Leicester 23/10, Draw 23/10
Referee: Neil Swarbrick
Last three meetings:
Bournemouth 0 Leicester 1
Leicester 2 Bournemouth 1
Bournemouth 2 Leicester 3
Form: Bournemouth: LLWW, Leicester: WWDW
Bournemouth – Harry Arter
Leicester – Matty James
Win, Lose or Draw?
The Cherries will be feeling a bit better about themselves after earning consecutive wins with successive four-goal salvos away to West Ham and Hartlepool.
However, the return to their own stomping ground could work against Eddie Howe’s men, who conjured up a goal difference of +30 in finishing top of the second tier on-the-road league last term.
At home they were only the Championship’s fourth-best side and struggled to open up Aston Villa when defeated in their first top flight outing at the Vitality Stadium.
Leicester are playing with all the inspiration that saw them cheat the drop from a seemingly impossible position last term and they’ve now lost just once in 12 Premier League games.
The Foxes look a value bet for victory, yet a form line through West Ham (who both sides have beaten by a single goal at the Boleyn Ground already this term) suggests the gulf between the protagonists is not that vast.
Recommended bet: Leicester draw no bet @ 13/10
Our adversaries have both been involved in some high-scoring games already this term and erring on the overs side of the rubicon is advised.
The Foxes’ four games so far have averaged four goals apiece, with each and every one rewarding both teams to score backers.
Bournemouth may gotten off on the wrong side of a couple of 1-0’s to start the season but they’ve struck four times in each of their last two outings.
That they needed to against a suicidal West Ham defence last time is testament to their fragility in the face of top-flight attackers and the visitors’ Riyad Mahrez is proving himself just that at present, with four strikes in his first three games.
Leicester themselves have yet to keep a clean sheet under Claudio Ranieri’s stewardship and can’t be trusted to starve their hosts entirely.
Recommended bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 17/20
Who’s going to score?
Unbelievably there are seven players shorter than Algerian Mahrez in the anytime scorer betting, despite him being the Premier League’s leading marksman.
The 24-year-old, who was playing for Le Havre’s second team as recently as 2012/13, is full of confidence and averaging 4.3 shots a match so far this season, while he also takes the penalties.
Callum Wilson will be many people’s idea of Bournemouth’s likeliest net-bulger after his hat-trick last time, yet given two of his goals were created by defensive howlers it may be wiser to side with Matt Ritchie.
The Scottish international came on like a second tier Kevin de Bruyne last term scoring 15 times and assisting 17 more to prove himself the conductor of the Cherries’ orchestra.
Recommended bet: Riyad Mahrez to score anytime at 5/2.
Leicester have been tough to live with in the opening period this term, winning three of their four first halves by a 2-0 margin or greater and still awaiting their first concession before the break.
Bournemouth have bagged prior to the interval twice in three meetings with top-flight rivals this term themselves of course…
However, both were served up by opposition sloppiness of the highest order against West Ham.
Three of Leicester’s four concessions across all competitions to date have come in the 15 minutes directly following the second session’s resumption.
As a result, backing over 0.5 goals between 45 minutes and the hour mark at 29/20, or over 0.5 Bournemouth strikes in the same period at 29/10 could prove a shrewd ploy.
Recommended bet: Leicester to win the first half @ 13/5