With only 15 goals to their name in the Premier League so far, there are only two teams who have scored fewer goals than QPR this season (West Brom and Wigan both have 14).
When it’s put like that, it doesn’t sound too good for Rangers, but Neil Warnock’s side are definitely subscribers to the quality not quantity school of thought.
Despite their low return, Saturday’s defeat at Liverpool is the only game in the last ten in which QPR haven’t scored. Indeed, they haven’t drawn a blank at Loftus Road since a goalless draw with Newcastle on September 12th.
So while the goals might not be flooding in for the Rs, the Londoners are always good bets to notch at least one during the 90 minutes.
For this reason, odds of 29/20 on QPR to score precisely one goal look pretty tempting, while those who like to play it a bit safer will get odds of 7/10 on QPR scoring one or more goals during the match.
While QPR’s tactic of scoring little and often has worked fairly well for them so far, on Sunday they face Manchester United – a team whose record in front of goal is one of the most impressive in the league.
They have scored in every single Premier League game this season and haven’t failed to notch since a 1-0 defeat to Arsenal at the Emirates on May 1st.
So although QPR can expect to score, it will take a brave punter to back a 1-0 home win at odds of 16/1.
If QPR do find the net, the man most likely to do it for them is Heidar Helguson. Helguson has scored in five of the last eight Premier League matches and is the Rs top scorer with six.
He is their most dangerous striker by a mile, managing the same number of goals on his own as QPR’s next four top scorers have plundered between them.
Helguson is 11/4 to score at any time on Sunday, while he is 10/1 to open the scoring. These odds seem particularly tempting when compared with odds of 9/4 for both Adel Taarabt and Jay Bothroyd, neither of whom has a record that can match Helguson’s this season.
Manchester United, on the other hand, are the league’s second top scorers with 35 (20 more than QPR), and that number is only likely to grow after Wayne Rooney ended his goal drought against Wolves, finding the net for the first time in the Premier League since September 18th.
Rooney is 3/1 to score the first goal on Sunday, 3/1 to score the last goal, and 17/20 to score at any time.
Following the lengthy injury to Javier Hernandez, betting on anyone other than Rooney in the Manchester United ranks seems unappealing, although Ashley Young and Nani look like the best of the rest, with both priced at 3/2 to score at any time.
The best bet in this one might come in the multiple correct score market, however. Given both sides tendency to score, but United’s tendency to score more, backing a multiple correct score of 1:2, 1:3 or 1:4 at odds of 31/10 is the stand-out bet for me.
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