Leicester are playing with renewed confidence since snapping their woeful winless run against Hull and they should be backed to beat troubled Newcastle in a match of under 2.5 goals at 9/2.
While the Foxes rode their luck at the KC Stadium, the pendulum swung firmly against them at Anfield last time out, with a ridiculous penalty given against Wes Morgan when the ball struck his head.
Nigel Pearson’s side refused to give up and came away with the type of creditable point that suggests they are in the mood to justify 6/4 favouritism over Newcastle (9/5 for victory) at the King Power Stadium.
Pearson has suggested that he will make changes for the fixture with Premier League survival a priority, a situation that may tempt some punters to look more favourable upon their guests.
However, the Magpies will be without African Cup of Nations-bound trio Papiss Cisse, Mehdi Abeid and Cheick Tiote – with all three expected to have flown out to join their respective nations after the Burnley clash.
The loss of the hard-working midfield pairing will hit Newcastle hard, however, given how hard they’ve found it to score goals on the road in recent weeks Cisse’s absence carries more weight.
Five away days since November 29 have seen Tyneside’s finest strike just three times, while they were shut out at West Ham and Tottenham.
Meanwhile Leicester have the kind of momentum coming into the contest that the Magpies are sorely lacking, with Burnley unlucky not to leave St James’ Park with three points on New Year’s Day despite losing three players to injury inside the first 37 minutes.
Ongoing uncertainty about the managerial situation is unlikely to aid their cause either.
Ultimately the Foxes are far from certain to prevail in a comfortable fashion having scored once or less in each of their last five home games.
Despite this, the wind is in their sails and the should have enough about them to chisel a fourth-round berth by a narrow margin.