Considering Romelu Lukaku has scored four goals in four appearances against Newcastle, bwin.com’s 6/4 about the Belgium international doing so again at least once when Everton travel to St James’ Park seems a mighty big risk.
It’s somewhat understandable that the 21-year-old is on the drift to notch, as Lukaku is having a poor season by his high standards with just seven strikes in 27 all-competition appearances for club and country.
To make matters worse, Lukaku opened the scoring for the wrong side in Roberto Martinez’s men’s 3-0 loss at Southampton recently, heading James Ward-Prowse’s corner past Toffees stopper Tim Howard to give Saints the lead before half time.
However, this has served to eek the former Chelsea and Anderlecht bruiser out in the betting to fire against a Newcastle outfit he clearly loves facing.
Lukaku bagged three in two matches against Alan Pardew’s Magpies while on loan at Goodison Park last term, including a brace in only his second game in Everton blue 16 months ago.
This was followed by the strike that put the Merseysiders two up in the 3-0 win at St James’ Park at the end of March, which made it four in four when facing Pardew and co as Lukaku also found the net on Tyneside during his loan spell with West Brom in the previous campaign.
Toon defender Steven Taylor remembers only too well the devastation Martinez’s ‘absolute beast’ can cause, with the Geordies’ local boy saying as much in the build up to this fixture.
Only one of Lukaku’s strikes against Taylor’s lot have been openers though, so sticking with the Toffees’ number ten in the anytime market makes the most sense at 6/4.
The visitors are marginal favourites at a top-price 17/10 in the north east, although that seems a bit off considering they’ve lost their last three on the road in the Premier League and haven’t won away domestically since late October.
Newcastle, on the other hand, had claimed the scalps of Chelsea, QPR, Liverpool and Leicester in successive home games prior to the 1-0 loss against hated local rivals Sunderland last time out on their own patch.
They look a touch overpriced at 9/5, but a better way to play may be backing the hosts to win and both teams to score at 19/4.