Swansea odds of 12/1 suggest they have little chance of coming away from Stamford Bridge with three points on Saturday.
The Welsh side travel to west London for a meeting with Chelsea on the back of a 3-0 win over West Brom and have an impressive defensive record in the Premier League to date.
Brendan Rodgers’ men have kept three clean sheets in their first five league matches, offering hope that they can secure at least a draw in west London at odds of 21/4.
However, close examination of the stats reveals that Chelsea’s status as 1/5 favourites is well justified.
All of Swansea’s clean sheets have been kept at the Liberty Stadium, with five goals conceded in their two league games away from home.
Meanwhile, Chelsea have won all three games and scored at least twice on each occasion they have played at Stamford Bridge last season.
And while they have generally ground down teams rather than steamrollered through them in the manner of Manchester United or Manchester City, the Blues’ second-half performance against the Red Devils last Sunday gave an indication of their goalscoring potential – even if they failed to convert more than one of their chances.
As such, Swansea are likely to find it difficult to stem the Blue tide and may well struggle to score themselves give they have only hit the back of the net in one of their five league matches so far this season.
With this in mind, Chelsea look good to keep a clean sheet at odds of 4/5 and appear well placed to grab a victory without conceding at odds of 91/100.
But perhaps the best bet would be on Chelsea scoring more goals in the second half than in the first at odds of 6/5.
A successful £25 free bet on the Blues to be more prolific after the interval than in the opening 45 minutes would return £55, with the free bet available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account.
The omens certainly look good for this bet as six of Chelsea’s eight league goals have been scored after the break this season.
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