Manchester City are 8/5 favourites to follow up the 1-0 win over Paris Saint-Germain that earned their place in the Champions League semi-finals with victory over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.
Unfortunately, their form in the matches immediately following outings in continental competition this season does little to inspire confidence.
The Citizens’ historic midweek success over PSG was their tenth european outing of the campaign.
Of the preceding nine, just two were followed up by wins next time out, with one of those victories (the 5-1 Capital One Cup romp against Crystal Palace) coming after a week-long break.
Both post-Champions League triumphs came on home soil, meaning they have failed to follow up their midweek continental antics with a win away from the Etihad all season.
Four draws, one admittedly the League Cup penalty shootout victory over Liverpool at Wembley, and a loss are the sum-total of their road achievements in the immediate wake of such engagements.
Chelsea are 17/10 to win and look more likely to do so for the return of Diego Costa from suspension. They have won just 25% of their matches this season in which failed to start, as opposed to 46% when the Spain international featured from the off.
However, it should not escape punters’ attention that Guus Hiddink’s side have won just three of their last ten home games, drawing six times during that sequence.
The only foes that fell to the Blues across that timeframe were Scunthorpe, Newcastle and a de-facto Citizens youth team. Manuel Pellegrini is sure to select a more credible XI this time around.
It’s a chunky 12/5 that Chelsea and City prove inseparable at Stamford Bridge, but those in search of more sizeable odds wouldn’t be misguided were they eyeing up the 16/5 about a draw in which both teams find the net.
All bar one of the 11 games at the former’s west London stronghold since Jose Mourinho’s departure have seen either side’s goalkeeper beaten.