Kick Off: 15.00, 20/08/2016
Burnley didn’t exactly storm their way to the top of the Championship last season, with 1-0 the scoreline in three of the Clarets’ last four wins of the campaign, and Sean Dyche’s side managing more than a single strike at home just once since January.
The fact that Burnley’s 1-0 Premier League opening-day defeat at home to Swansea was their first league reverse of 2016, and stands as their only loss of any kind at Turf Moor since early December, is a testament to Dyche’s ability to build from the back.
Only one side in the 92-team English league ladder, fellow Premier League newboys Middlesbrough, conceded fewer goals than Burnley’s 35 in 2015/16, with just four leaked at headquarters – including the one against the Swans last weekend – since local rivals Preston won 2-0 there on Boxing Day.
There’s no doubt Dyche’s men face their toughest test for some time when Liverpool visit next, after Jurgen Klopp’s men put Arsenal to the sword in an Emirates thriller, having been 4-1 up just after an hour.
Klopp’s Reds have proved an exciting prospect since the German took over last October, doling out 6-1 and 6-0 thrashings at Southampton and Aston Villa respectively, as well as scoring four goals in three April games in a row at home to Stoke, Borussia Dortmund and Everton.
They haven’t failed to fire in 14 Anfield fixtures since the end of January, but the glut of goals against the Gunners was something of an anomaly, with Liverpool averaging just one strike per match over the previous six on their travels.
Bearing that in mind, Liverpool winning a game of 2.5 goals or fewer looks high value at 5/2, with 25/2 about the visitors triumphing 1-0 the correct-score pick.
Klopp’s crowd are 8/15 favourites simply to claim the three points, with the hosts 19/4 and the draw 31/10.