Burnley’s mini-revival was curtailed at QPR last time out, but point-spilling Southampton will gladly offer assistance in getting the Clarets’ survival bandwagon back on four wheels.
The bwin odds gurus aren’t so sure, going 4/5 about a Saints away win with Sean Dyche’s men a monster 7/2 for success next to the 12/5 draw.
But a series of factors are conspiring against the visiting party to make a punt on the home side the only way to bet on this Turf Moor tussle.
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Prior to their Loftus Road loss, Burnley were undefeated in four matches and have dodged defeat against each of the last three teams to visit their Lancashire lair.
Southampton, by contrast, are facing up to a Champions League reality check having failed to win in any of their last four.
The most recent three-matches of this quartet have all ended in despair for Ronald Koeman’s men as Manchester City, Arsenal then Manchester United each took it upon themselves to remind the Saints of their mid-table stature in the division.
This confidence-shattering trio of defeats will ensure the visitors’ morale is lower than the underground network in Atlantis ahead of this sojourn, rendering now the ideal time for Burnley to scratch victory number three into their seasonal bedpost.
It’s been five league road games in succession in which the south coast club have scored just once or not at all, whereas the Clarets have rippled the onion bag in each of their last quintet on the homestead.
Bagging just once is likely to mean the hosts plunder a point at least (Burnley double chance is available at an excellent value evens, incidentally) but the raft of Saints absentees suggests they’ll snare all of the spoils on offer.
Chief rearguard marshal Toby Alderweireld is doubtful for the game, while midfield lynchpins Morgan Schneiderlin and Jack Cork will not travel; Southampton have scored 14 and conceded none in the four matches both have been picked together.