It’s tighter than a drum at the top of the Premier League, where the gap between first and eighth is the smallest its been after 11 games since the 2001-02 season at just six points.
Arsenal lead the pack and are 7/2 to remain top of the rankings in May, but given the bunched up nature of the top-half, there is incredible value waiting to be found in the top-four finish betting.
Tottenham Hotspur have three more points than at this stage last season, when they missed out on the top-four by a single point.
Spurs have scored just nine goals, are struggling to fit in their expensive new signings and have been beaten at home by West Ham and Newcastle already.
Despite all this they are just one point behind fourth-place Chelsea and given their performances are only likely to improve Andre Villas-Boas’ side look great value to finish in a Champions League spot at 2/1.
The Lilywhites have created more chances than anyone else in the league, and kept seven clean sheets in 11 games, suggesting it is only a matter of time before they really click into gear.
Currently third in the standings, Southampton have the best defensive record in the league.
An impressive summer of transfer business, coupled with their endlessly productive youth academy, has helped the Saints form an excellent team that have won six and lost just one of their first 11.
Having already taken four points from visits to Old Trafford and Anfield, Mauricio Pochettino’s side have proven their ability to mix it with the big boys, and their lofty odds of 14/1 to end up in the top-four look to be fine value.
Despite playing five of last season’s top seven already, Newcastle are just four points off the Champions League places.
The real long-shot of the trio, Alan Pardew’s side have recovered from an awful opening 4-0 defeat at Manchester City to claim 16 points in their last nine fixtures.
Consecutive wins against Chelsea and Spurs belie their outrageous price of 200/1 to finish in the top four, and call to mind the 2011-12 season, when the Magpies finished fifth.
With no European campaign to distract them and a settled side seeing the benefits of their January spending spree, the Toon might just be this year’s surprise package.