Saturday sees a Chelsea team who have drawn their last three matches entertain an Aston Villa side who, with eight draws, have seen more of their games end without a winner than any other Premier League outfit this season.
With this in mind, odds on a home win (7/25, if you’re interested) or an away success (21/2, thanks for asking) barely seem worth mentioning, with the draw at 4/1 surely the only result in bwin’s 3Way football betting market which punters will have eyes for.
But before anyone gets carried away and starts dreaming about what to do with the £125 they would get back if a £25 free bet on a draw came in, it is perhaps worth taking Villa’s recent record in front of goal into consideration.
That Alex McLeish’s side drew a blank in their last match will have come as no surprise to fans of the Birmingham outfit, for it is becoming a regular occurrence.
With Villa unlikely to pose much by way of an attacking threat, one goal could be enough for the Blues, making a home win to nil at evens a far better prospect than a draw.
Villa’s attack has failed four times in the last six games alone, meaning those planning to bet on a draw will want to consider odds of 21/2 on a 0-0 final score.
And just to ram the point home, McLeish’s men have found the back of the net just eight times in nine away league games this season.
All this makes a Chelsea clean sheet look like a banker at 17/20.
For the Blues’ part, they have also found goals hard to come by in recent matches, although not to quite the same extent as Villa.
While Chelsea have not failed to hit the back of the net in a league game since 23rd October and a 1-0 defeat against QPR, they have been unable to score more than once in any of their last three games.
Nevertheless, with Villa unlikely to pose much by way of an attacking threat, one goal could be enough for the Blues, making a home win to nil at evens a far better prospect than a draw.
Given Chelsea’s lack of attacking fluency in recent games a 1-0 correct scoreline is one to consider at 13/2, although for more leeway a 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 scoreline in favour of the home team looks a better bet at odds of 8/5.
A successful £25 free bet on Chelsea to win 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 is set to return £65, with the free bet available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account.
Either way, it’s probably best to avoid the draw.
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