With each passing week, Bolton’s 5-0 win over Stoke on 6th November looks more and more like a freakish anomaly.
Since then, the Trotters have lost all four of their matches, conceding at least twice in every one.
That said, the form of Fulham, Bolton’s opponents on Saturday, has not been much better.
A 1-0 win over Liverpool is the Lilywhites’ only win in their last six games in all competitions and, out of the Europa League, they sit just six places above bottom side Bolton in the Premier League table.
Nevertheless, their victory over in-form Liverpool will have given Martin Jol’s side’s confidence and, given Bolton’s abysmal run, they will fancy their chances in the 3.00pm kick-off at Craven Cottage.
Fulham therefore go into the match as 3/5 favourites for the win in bwin’s 3Way football betting market, with the draw at 5/2 and a Bolton victory at 21/4.
Bolton’s problems this season have been numerous, although their chief deficiency is an inability to prevent the opposition from scoring.
The Trotters have the worst defensive record in the league by some distance, with 36 goals conceded in just 15 matches.
It is largely because of this that all seven of Bolton’s away games this season have featured at least three goals, with recent scorelines including a 3-0 loss to Tottenham, a 2-1 defeat to West Brom and a 3-1 defeat to Swansea.
A bet on a repeat on Sunday is priced at 4/5, although the best option could be to play on the likelihood of a Fulham victory in a high scoring game by betting on a home win with over 2.5 goals.
This option is available at 29/20, making a successful £25 free bet on the outcome worth £61.25.
Of course, it is worth pointing out that Fulham scoring at least two goals in the game – as they will need to in order to secure a win with over 2.5 goals – is not a given.
Only twice have they managed to do this in seven home Premier League matches this season – in a 6-0 win over QPR and a 2-2 draw with Manchester City.
But such are Bolton’s defensive problems that even West Brom, who have scored just seven goals at home this season, managed to score two when the Trotters visited the Hawthorns.
Bolton are particularly vulnerable in the first 15 minutes of the second half.
The Trotters have conceded 11 during this time, with no team in the league letting in more goals in any 15-minute period.
As Fulham are more likely to score in the second half than the first – 69 per cent of their goals have come after the interval – the home team to score the first goal of the second half looks a safe bet at 39/50.
For more attractive concerns, Fulham to score more goals in the second half than the first looks tempting at 27/20.
Finally, with Bolton also scoring over 60 per cent of their goals after the interval, it could be worth getting on odds of 11/10 for there to be more goals in the second half of the game than there are in the first.
New customers can register here to claim a free £25 bet or click here to see all our Premier League odds.
Follow us on Twitter @bwinbetting