With a host of players dripping in attacking talent all converging on the same pitch for Arsenal’s clash with Liverpool, the instant temptation is to point the mouse cursor directly at the over 2.5 goal market.
However, there is enough evidence to shoot for some extra value with a punt on the 6/4 about the match tally soaring over the 3.5 threshold.
The match odds put Arsenal as the 15/13 favourites to top up their league tally with three points, with Liverpool given odds of 9/4 and a share of the spoils priced up at 9/4.
Liverpool’s last 17 away games have only fallen below 2.5 goals twice
Ticket sales for Liverpool’s road trips must be at an all time high, because it has become a given that their away days come packed with goals.
15 of their last 17 in the league have passed the 2.5 goal marker, but recently they have upped their considerably goal-friendly standards.
Since switching to a cavalier 3-5-2 formation to accommodate all their attacking deities, Liverpool’s last two away games have both contained over 3.5 goals, a streak that is bumped up to four when home games are included.
Arsenal have conceded two goals in the last two games Mathieu Flamini has missed
Arsenal’s snappy French midfielder has been credited with returning some much needed defensive bite to Arsenal’s showy attacking bark, and will be sorely missed.
The Gunners haven’t lost a single game with Flamini in the starting XI this season, an unbeaten run of eight games.
However, they’ve lost the last two he’s missed, against Dortmund and Chelsea in the Capital One Cup, conceding two goals both times.
With Flamini once again ruled out through injury, Liverpool’s potent striking duo can go most of the way to landing the over 3.5 bet themselves.
Both sides have had five of their nine games go over 3.5 goals this season
Neither side has been shy in producing goal-laden games and they share equal 5-4 records in the 3.5 goals department from their nine matches. In addition, the pair have played out eight clashes of over 3.5 goals in the last 11 seasons.