It’s been a mixed week for bwinbetting’s Shaun Curran. He might be sailing through the early stages of his £10 to £10k challenge – bet three of which seems him rooting for over 1.5 goals in Manchester United v QPR – but he’s also had to suffer the ignominy, in the guise of the Long Shot, of being beaten in a head-to-head by a rival tipster.
A Glenn Murray double in Crystal Palace’s win against Derby – picked out at odds of 11/2 – helped Owen Spencer from @SpankTheBookies to a Long Shots head-to-head success and won his followers the chance to get their hands on a £30 free bet from bwin. But rather than walk away, @SpankTheBookies “don’t like to see people cry” so have offered to give Scuzza the chance to redeem himself.
So without further ado, Mr Spencer’s three picks for this week, all of which – as the rules state they must – have odds of at least 4/1, are below. You’ll find the regular Long Shots column here.
West Bromwich Albion to beat Sunderland after a drawn first half @ 23/4
Steve Clarke’s Baggies can do no wrong at the minute: after three wins on the bounce they’re sitting in a Champions League place. Although that position will surely prove to be false in the end, you can’t deny they are having a great season up to now. They travel to the Stadium of Light to face a Sunderland side who have won only one of their last six in the Premier League, scoring only three goals at home this season.
Although there have been under 2.5 goals scored in Sunderland’s last five home games in the Premier League, history suggests there will be goals in this clash, with over 2.5 scored in six of their last seven matches against West Bromwich Albion in all competitions. The Baggies are unbeaten in five matches against Sunderland and I have a little feeling that they will continue this run with a win this weekend, but only after the Black Cats make it difficult for them in the first half.
Christian Benteke to score first against Arsenal @ 8/1
The Belgium beast rises in the air like a salmon leaping out of water. The new Villa signing is fast becoming a Holte End hero at Villa Park, scoring two goals in three starts at home this season. Did anybody else see the way he bullied Chris Smalling against Man Utd?
At 6ft 4ins, the 21-year-old will surely cause problems to an Arsenal team who are excellent going forward but vulnerable at the back. His pace will undoubtedly give Per Mertesacker nightmares, with the milk in my fridge turning quicker than the German. At 8/1 it was hard to ignore this bet, especially after Villa took a 2-0 lead against Man Utd in their last home fixture. Although Arsenal should win this game, Benteke to score first has a great chance in my opinion.
Bury to be winning at half time/Bournemouth to winning at full time @ 25/1
Since the return of Eddie Howe, Bournemouth are in fantastic form, unbeaten in eight and winning four of their last five games. But we shouldn’t ignore Bury. Although they are sat in 22nd place, they are unbeaten in four games at home and have also beaten Bournemouth on the last three occasions.
I expect a close game with the potential of lots of goals (22 goals in the last six games for both clubs) so don’t be surprised to see Bournemouth stage a comeback if they are losing at half time. At 25/1 it’d be rude not to back this one.
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