A 1-0 reverse at Bootham Crescent has left York needing to put a bit of a shift in at Fleetwood tonight if they are to advance to the League Two play-off final.
The Minstermen, however, travel to the north west coast armed with both the tools to overturn this deficit and the knowledge of how to use them, making their voluptuous 7/2 to qualify for the Wembley showpiece well worth taking out for a steak dinner.
They’re a not-half bad 5/2 just to win in normal time in the wake of the hosts’ even-money favouritism, with the draw an 11/5 alternative, but backing York to progress is the only way to go here.
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Here are three reasons that say it will:
York haven’t suffered defeat on their travels since at 2-0 smiting at Hartlepool back in January.
The fixture calendar has sent them on the road eight times since and they’ve returned triumphant from six of these sojourns.
This electric run of away form began with a 2-1 win at Fleetwood’s Highbury Stadium, a repeat of that scoreline will be enough to force extra-time here.
Defensive stringency has been key to enabling the existence of the Minstermen’s octet of away-day delight, with only two home teams able to muster goals against them.
Graham Alexander’s men were one, promoted Scunthorpe were the other, but a whopping six attacks were comprehensively negated by York’s rearguard.
Five of these frustrated frontlines left base camp having been on the end of defeats too.
Another away win to nil for Nigel Worthington’s team is available at an enticing 4/1.
Of the entire top seven in the third tier, Fleetwood have the worst home record.
No side has lost as many matches or shipped more goals in League Two’s top seven than Town.
They’re not exactly on a homestead hot streak ahead of this one either, failing to win three from four on their own patch, with their pair of victories in the final five outings coming against Bristol Rovers and Wycombe, who finished second and third bottom respectively.