Like Iain Dowie’s Crystal Palace 2003/04 side before them, York find themselves contesting a play-off semi-final that seemed more than just implausible as they contemplated their Christmas dinners in the League Two drop zone.
By that stage however, the rock-hewn rearguard that has underpinned their surge up the table had already begun to reveal itself.
Like the limestone walls that have defended the city’s inner sanctum since the days of the Romans, a massive 22 clean sheets have enabled Nigel Worthington’s side to prosper as the season progresses.
While odds of 14/5 seems more than fair betting on a York win to nil, the home triumph/under 2.5 goals double is the preferred way to profit from their prudence.
Paying 4/1, it’s essentially an identical wager in these circumstances as both are toast if the opposition net.
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That it will be narrow if York are doing the winning is in little doubt, considering their last eight successes in all competitions have limboed the 2.5 mark.
Unbeaten since the beginning of February, Worthington’s men downed Fleetwood 2-1 at their own personal Highbury in the very triumph that kick-started that sequence.
Five of the last seven visitors to a stronghold where the hosts have only lost once since November were defeated.
However, any chance of our wager going down under the weight of too many goals is countered by the Fleetwood’s road defence, the second best in the divison.
Graham Alexander’s problem has been coaxing his side into finding the net on their travels, with just 25 away strikes to their name this term.
Yet as Town have begun to find the net more often beyond their backyard, hitting five in their last three road trips, their defence has loosened appreciably, giving up three goals in their last two games.
York shade favouritism in the match betting at 6/4, with their visitors 17/10 and the draw priced up at 2/1 in a gnat’s chuff-tight betting heat.