Having finished the League Two season five points clear of Crewe, it is perhaps surprising not to find Cheltenham Town as favourites to claim victory at Wembley.
Indeed, it is Crewe who are marginal favourites priced at 7/5, with Cheltenham offered at 7/4, and the small difference in price may well be down to the respective head-to-head matches between the two sides during the season, which saw Crewe win both home and away without conceding a goal.
Succeeding in the play-offs is all about momentum, and while Cheltenham amassed more points, won more matches and ended with a better goal difference than Crewe, the Railwaymen are on an 18-match unbeaten
run and the confidence gained from that should not be underestimated.
With little to chose between the sides, delving into the goals market looks like being the way forward.
Similarly, Cheltenham ended the season third in the form table, with four wins from their last six matches, scoring 11 goals and playing some decent football.
So with little to chose between the sides, delving into the goals market looks like being the way forward. Both sides averaged over 2.5 goals per match during their respective League Two campaigns, and there looks like being a strong case to be made for backing three goals or more at the price of evens. This bet
has paid out in five of the last seven meetings between these teams, and offers excellent value at the price quoted.
For some slightly higher odds, and a small value bet, try backing Crewe in the half time/full time market at 3/1, a bet which has paid out two of the last three times the teams have met.
Recommended bet: Over 2.5 goals @ evens
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