While the midweek focus of most football betting fans will be on England’s clash with Holland at Wembley on Wednesday, there are plenty of issued to be settled in League One.
With three of the top four in action as the race for automatic promotion hots up, we bring you the best bets in each of the matches taking place over the next couple of days.
Tuesday, February 28th
Bury v Hartlepool United (7.45pm)
Home win: 7/5 Draw: 21/10 Away win: 7/4
Key stat: Bury have lost just one of their last seven home games, while Hartlepool are without a win in five on the road.
Betting tip: Pools were drubbed 5-0 at Wycombe on Saturday and will surely struggle to bounce back with victory at Gigg Lane as their away-day blues continue. But with the Shakers failing to win any of their last five league matches, the draw looks the best option here at 21/10.
Chesterfield v Charlton Athletic (7.45pm)
Home win: 29/10 Draw: 23/10 Away win: 17/20
Key stat: Less than three goals have been scored in each of Chesterfield’s last six home league games and the same is true of six of Charlton’s previous seven away games.
Betting tip: It’s top versus bottom at the B2net Stadium and Charlton will certainly fancy their chances, especially with top scorer Bradley Wright-Phillips finally ending his goal drought in the 2-0 win over Stevenage on Saturday. Under 2.5 goals at 83/100 is the safe option, but for a bigger win, back the Addicks to triumph 1-0 at 6/1 and place a cover bet on a 2-0 victory at 15/2.
Oldham Athletic v Colchester United (7.45pm)
Home win: 13/10 Draw: 21/10 Away win: 19/10
Key stat: Six of the last seven meetings between Oldham and Colchester at Boundary Park have contained less than three goals.
Betting tip: With these two teams separated by just four points in the table, another close encounter can be expected. A look at the statistics shows that 11 of Oldham’s 15 league fixtures at Boundary Park have featured less than three goals, while nine of United’s 14 away matches have ticked the same box. Backing under 2.5 goals here is well worth some heavy investment at 3/4.
Rochdale v Notts County (7.45pm)
Home win: 27/20 Draw: 21/10 Away win: 37/20
Key stat: Notts County have lost seven of their last eight away league matches.
Betting tip: Rochdale may be in a lowly 23rd place, but they sit ninth in a league table based on second-half results at home. By contrast, the Magpies have the worst record in the final 45 minutes of away matches in the entire division, despite sitting third for their efforts before the interval. Rochdale have won their last four meetings with County at Spotland and considering they have also won on their last two League One outings on home soil, there is plenty of value in backing Draw/Rochdale at 5/1 in the half-time/full-time market. These statistics also suggest Notts County/Rochdale is a decent long shot at 30/1.
Stevenage v Huddersfield Town (7.45pm)
Home win: 7/5 Draw: 21/10 Away win: 7/4
Key stat: Amazingly, in Huddersfield’s 14 away matches in League One this term, the half-time result (home win/draw/away win, rather than scoreline) has been exactly the same as the full-time outcome.
Betting tip: If we assume the above trend will continue, this leads us directly to the half-time/full-time market and three very specific and well-priced options: Stevenage/Stevenage at 3/1, Draw/Draw at 4/1 and Huddersfield/Huddersfield at 7/2. In theory at least, backing all three will ensure you break even at worst. But considering the Terriers’ only away defeat of the season came at leaders Charlton, I’m going to rule out the first option. Huddersfield have drawn eight of those 14 matches and Stevenage are generally strong at home, so Draw/Draw and/or Huddersfield/Huddersfield looks to be the way to go here.
Wednesday, February 29th
Sheffield United v Scunthorpe United
Home win: 9/20 Draw: 3/1 Away win: 21/4
Key stat: Sheffield United have more home points (38) and more home goals (38) than any other team in the division.
Betting tip: This looks to be about as close to a home banker as it gets in the latest round of fixtures in League One. However, Scunthorpe have been better on the road than at Glanford Park, having conceded just 18 goals in 14 matches, despite sitting 21st in the overall table. The Iron are unbeaten in their last four away matches and might just be able to keep the score down against a United team feeling the effects of their derby defeat to bitter rivals Sheffield Wednesday on Sunday. Take the Blades to win by a single goal by backing the draw in the 0-1 handicap market at a very enticing 13/5.
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