It is just the second weekend of the League One season, but this Saturday Notts County will host Charlton Athletic at Meadow Lane in the league’s first top-of-the-table clash.
The matches between the sides produced mirroring results last season, with the home side winning 1-0 in both games.
On each occasion the away side also missed a penalty. If you think lightning could strike thrice, a half-time draw followed by a Notts County win at full-time is priced at a generous 19/4.
However, these are very different teams from last season. Charlton have signed no fewer than 16 players this summer, investing heavily in their squad in a bid for promotion.
New Notts County manager Martin Allen has had the off-season to work with his squad and, having brought in players like former Charlton trainee Ishmel Demontagnac, they have reasons to believe that this season could be a more profitable one than last.
What remains from last season is the presence of 35-year-old Lee Hughes in the Notts County attack, and having scored in the 3-0 win at Oldham in the league and the 3-3 draw with rivals Nottingham Forest in the League Cup, he virtually ensures a goal every other game.
With Bradley Wright-Phillips up front for Charlton, who will probably look to play in an attacking 4-4-2 formation, goals look likely for them too.
For those reasons, both teams scoring at 13/20 looks a very secure bet, and that conviction could be applied to a bet on over 2.5 goals at 91/100.
However, because of the attacking threat that Charlton carry in midfield, they should pinch it this time round. Notts County may well feel the effects of losing on penalties against rivals Nottingham Forest in midweek, especially because Charlton’s game against Reading was postponed due to the civil unrest in London.
So the best bet is on Charlton to run riot and secure a 3-1 win, priced at 20-1.
A £25 free bet on Charlton to beat Notts County 3-1, available to new customers who sign up for a bwin account, would return £525.
Watch out for a late goal from striker Paul Benson. He was very close to joining Notts County in the summer, and it would be so very typical if he was the man to secure the points for the Addicks.
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