Saturday, March 10th
Real Sociedad v Real Zaragoza (5.00pm)
Home win: 3/4 Draw: 5/2 Away win: 15/4
Key stat: Sociedad’s last nine results go L-W-L-W-L-W-L-W-L. They’re due a win.
Betting tip: Sociedad seem to be adhering to the principle that you may as well win one and lose one than draw two and that mantra sees them comfortable enough in 13th spot. Zaragoza have won two of their last four after 16 without success and remain in desperate trouble at the bottom of the pile. Sociedad are due a win, and betting on them with over 2.5 goals in the game is at 9/5.
Malaga v Levante (5.00pm)
Home win: 11/20 Draw: 29/10 Away win: 5/1
Key stat: Only Barcelona and Real Madrid have more home wins than Malaga.
Betting tip: Fortunately for Manuel Pellegrini, Malaga’s form at La Rosaleda has kept them in touch with the Champions League places. Los Boquerones have won their last three at home, scoring ten goals in the process. Levante have won their last two, including an away win at Espanyol – halting nine successive defeats on their travels. Not much suggests anything other than a Malaga win, but their timid first-half showings makes the half-time draw/Malaga win at 17/5 tempting.
Sporting Gijon v Sevilla (7.00pm)
Home win: 9/4 Draw: 9/4 Away win: 6/5
Key stat: Sevilla have scored eight goals in 12 away fixtures.
Betting tip: Sevilla are sat square in mid-table in tenth spot but they are only five points off that vacant fourth spot which nobody seemingly wants to claim. Los Nervionenses have won two of their last three and can extend that run against a Gijon side with one win in 12. Sevilla’s lack of away goals means it won’t be a stroll and a 1-0 away win is good value at 6/1.
Real Betis v Real Madrid (9.00pm)
Home win: 23/4 Draw: 333/100 Away win: 9/20
Key stat: Madrid have put ten past Betis in their last two meetings.
Betting tip: Jose Mourinho’s men have won 20 league matches in a row against sides other than Barca and their crusade towards the La Liga title doesn’t look like being stopped. Betis have won five of eight at home, but not against this calibre of opposition. Madrid have a job to do in Europe in midweek so they may not be at full tilt, but still good enough to win a game of under 3.5 goals at 29/20.
Sunday, March 11th
Atletico Madrid v Granada (11.00am)
Home win: 7/20 Draw: 18/5 Away win: 8/1
Key stat: Granada have lost nine of their 12 away games.
Betting tip: Diego Simeone has certainly shored things up at Atletico. Los Rojiblancos have only lost one and conceded five in the dozen games the Argentinian’s been in charge and they will carry on this momentum against Granada. The little Andalusians have lost six of their last seven away and those stats will have worsened by Sunday afternoon. Radamel Falcao is 5/2 to score the last goal of the game.
Espanyol v Rayo Vallecano (11.00am)
Home win: 21/20 Draw: 23/10 Away win: 13/5
Key stat: Vallecano are the third top away scorers in La Liga.
Betting tip: These two teams meet at the high and low points of their respective seasons. Rayo have won four of their last five with the exception being a narrow defeat to Real Madrid, while Espanyol are winless in five. Vallecano are making an unlikely dash for the Champions League places and picking up the 13/5 win here will do no harm.
Valencia v Mallorca (3.00pm)
Home win: 1/2 Draw: 3/1 Away win: 11/2
Key stat: Valencia have lost two of their last three home games.
Betting tip: Valencia are clinging on to their default third position but they are far from convincing. They’ve already lost six La Liga games so far this season, including two of their last three at home, but even still they should have too much for a Mallorca side who fall apart when they leave the island. Los Che have only scored ten times in the first half of matches at the Mestalla, so the half-time draw/Valencia win is worth a look at 333/100.
Racing Santander v Barcelona (5.00pm)
Home win: 12/1 Draw: 19/4 Away win: 11/50
Key stat: Barca have won their last six meetings with Racing, scoring 19 goals.
Betting tip: Barcelona’s away form has been patchy this year but it is also very difficult to take that into consideration when you know just how destructive they can be, pretty much whenever they want. Recent victories at Leverkusen and Atletico prove what they can do and Santander going seven without a win won’t weaken their case either. Leo Messi to score three or more is way over-priced at 19/4 given his recent exploits.
Osasuna v Athletic Club (8.30pm)
Home win: 9/5 Draw: 11/5 Away win: 3/2
Key stat: Athletic have won four of their last five games against Osasuna.
Betting tip: Athletic have probably been snipped a few points after their highly polished victory at Old Trafford in midweek but that performance was only in keeping with what has been a remarkable season. Marcelo Bielsa has turned Los Leones into a very slick unit and they will be many people’s favourites to secure fourth spot. However, Athletic might have to settle for a draw at Osasuna given their exertions against Manchester United and the return leg to come next week. Treble your money on the 11/5 draw or be brave and go for a 1-1 draw at 5/1.
Villarreal v Getafe (8.00pm)
Home win: 19/20 Draw: 9/4 Away win: 3/1
Key stat: Only Barcelona have lost fewer at home than Villarreal.
Betting tip: Villarreal might be only just out of the relegation zone but they’ve only lost once at home all season. It’s their away form which is the issue so I can’t see Getafe getting anything at El Madrigal. Villarreal 2-1 is 15/2.
New customers can register here to claim a free £25 bet or click here to see all our La Liga odds.
Follow us on Twitter @bwinbetting