Last week saw Owen Spencer from @SpankTheBookies go head-to-head with bwinbetting’s Long Shot tipster Shaun Curran to see who could secure the most profit if they placed a £10 stake on three bets with odds of at least 4/1.
After a much-hyped build-up, Mr Spencer resolutely failed to Spank the Bookies – or anyone else for that matter – as all of his picks fell short. Fortunately for him (if not for the column’s numerous followers) the Long Shot also had an off day – although he’s been bleating on all week about how he was “cheated” out of a win by referee Darren Sheldrake.
So while the Long Shot remains undefeated, he hasn’t exactly emerged with bragging rights and the whiff of unfinished business is therefore lingering in the air. Keen to disperse the stench and settle the affair one way or another, we’re going to give the challenge another go. And this time there’s an added incentive for @SpankTheBookies – if their tips prove more successful, bwin will give away a £30 free bet in a competition for their followers on Twitter. So without further ado, the Long Shot’s tips are here and this week’s offering from Mr Spencer is below:
Aldershot to beat AFC Wimbledon after drawn first half @ 6/1
I watched AFC Wimbledon in midweek against York and was less than impressed. That game went to extra time and I expect that a few Wimbledon players will have heavy legs. To make matters worse, the Dons’ recent home form has been nothing short of horrendous, with five defeats from their last six.
As for Aldershot, they have collected four points from a possible six in their last two away games, conceding just the one goal. They came out on top in their last away game against AFC Wimbledon, winning 2-1. It could well be the same score again; I expect a tight scrappy game with Aldershot claiming victory after the first half ending in a draw.
Glenn Murray to score at least twice when Crystal Palace play Derby @ 11/2
With Palace scoring sixteen goals in their last five home games compared to Derby’s six on the road, surely this fixture can only go one way? But while I think Palace will win this comfortably, our long shot bet is Glenn Murray to score two goals or more in this game. He has been on fire so far this season, scoring 13 goals in 13 appearances in the Championship, with nine goals in his last five games at Selhurst Park, including two hat-tricks in that time.
With the Eagles also being the Championship’s top scorers at home, it’s very hard to ignore this bet, especially at a cracking price of 11/2.
Levante to beat Deportivo La Coruna after a drawn first half @ 15/2
Four of the last six meetings between these two sides have been decided by a single goal and I fancy the same to happen this weekend. Deportivo have only managed to pick up a single win in their last ten league games, while Levante have managed to win just once in their last ten away from Estadi Ciutat de Valencia. But with Deportivo recording a win in their last home game against a very poor Mallorca side, and Levante unbeaten in two on the road, both teams will feel they can win this game.
Levante’s actually lost for the first time in five games last week when Real Madrid picked up three points on the most waterlogged pitch I have seen since my Sunday league team “famously” got beaten 12-0 ten years ago. But enough about that already…
Anyway, Levante shouldn’t be too disheartened by that defeat and although they struggle to score on the road, I fancy them to pick themselves up and see off a Deportivo side who have conceded 19 goals in their last six games.
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