The season’s third East Anglian derby is sure to take place in highly-charged atmosphere, but that doesn’t mean there’ll be any goals scored.
Having taken the laurels in both regular season bragging-rights beefs (and the last four altogether) the Canaries assume 13/10 favouritism on enemy terrain.
Mick McCarthy’s side may be aggrieved to find themselves as long as 39/20 for victory in front of the Portman Road faithful, with the first leg stalemate is priced up at 23/10.
Yet backing under 2.5 goals in the fixture at 13/20 may be a safer wager than any of the aforementioned quotes, while 13/2 about the Suffolk portion of this tie ending 0-0 looks a generous assessment.
Why? Here’s a trio of persuaders…
The Championship’s second-best home defence play its second-best road defence
Ipswich host a clash between two sides near unsurpassed in the division when it comes to being tough to breach playing out of the corners they’ll find themselves in for this fixture.
Town average well under one home concession an outing in the league this term, while Norwich have shipped just 24 times in 23 away games.
Both regular-campaign clashes saw the Tractor Boys stymied and under 2.5 goals.
Neither 2014/15 East Anglian contretemps produced a glut of goals, with Norwich to-nil victors by two strikes at home and one away.
Such seasonal superiority might lead readers to question the wisdom of backing the 0-0, however…
Lewis Grabban will miss both legs of the play-off semi-final through suspension
Prior to an ankle injury sustained in March the 27-year-old had been in prolific nick for the Canaries, bagging 12 times.
No one knows this more than Ipswich, against whom Grabban scored two of the three goals between the clubs this season.
His absence will come as a blessing to McCarthy’s rearguard.
Away goals do not count in the play-offs
The importance of finding the net in your opponent’s back yard is greatly diminished as a result of the competition’s rule quirk, meaning Norwich will be in no extra hurry to commit to attack.