Following their unbeaten start to the season, Brighton and Hove Albion are rightly favourites to pick up another win at Bristol City this weekend.
But the Robins have only lost twice at home since February and have begun to pick up form after two early defeats this season.
Albion are 11/10 in bwin’s 3Way football betting market, with City at 9/4 and the draw at 12/5.
City also have good recent history against Brighton, with four wins and a draw in their last six encounters – though one of these games does date back to 2003.
I favour City’s strong defence to halt Brighton’s free-scoring start to the season and 9/2 for the home side to win to nil looks good value.
With striker Nicky Maynard in good form (three goals in five) City will also pose an attacking threat and they have won seven times in the last 20 games when they’ve led at half-time.
In bwin’s half-time/full-time market punters can back a Bristol City/Bristol City outcome at 9/2, which, if successful, would net £137.50 for new customers using the £25 free bet they receive when joining bwin.com.
However, Brighton have shown they can come from behind, especially when they won their opening game at the AMEX Stadium with a last-minute goal, and are an attractive 25/1 to turn a half-time deficit into a full-time victory.
Whatever the outcome, punters should expect a low-scoring affair, with 83% of the last 40 games involving either Bristol City or Brighton having two goals or fewer.
As such betting on under 2.5 goals in the match at evens seems like the best way to go, with odds of 14/5 for under 1.5 goals to be scored also worth considering.
In such a tricky game to call it may be worth taking advantage of bwin’s double chance market, which will pay out at odds 1/5 if either side claims a win.
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