Since a 4-1 mauling by Southampton in September, Birmingham have responded by winning four and drawing two of their last half-dozen matches.
Combine that with the Blues’ two wins away in Europe to NK Maribor and Club Brugge, plus a home draw with the Belgian champions, and the run extends to nine games.
Boss Chris Hughton has consequently deservedly won the Championship Manager of the Month award for October – but the accolade is notoriously a bad luck charm, with many teams’ runs coming to an end once they are given the trophy.
That said, before a 1-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest on Tuesday, Reading had been on an eight-match unbeaten run themselves.
When you study that run a bit deeper, though, you see Reading are awaiting their first win in five league games after a sequence of draws for the Berkshire outfit.
Taking all that into account, the best bet of the day looks to be in the 2-Way football betting market. Backing Birmingham in this market, where a draw at the Madejski refunds your stake, pays 13/10 and has to be the value bet of the game.
Part of Birmingham’s great league form is down to the fact they haven’t conceded a goal in 425 minutes, while Reading haven’t scored in their past two fixtures.
The Blues, who are rated as 23/10 outsiders, can be backed at 31/4 to win 1-0 and are available at 4/1 to win by any scoreline to nil.
This means punters who use their free £25 bet for joining bwin.com on a Birmingham 1-0 win could win £218.75 if it comes in.
If you believe the Manager of the Month curse will strike again and think Reading will notch up only their second home win of the season, then you can back the Royals at 6/5, with the draw priced at 21/10.
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