Leeds’ current position in the Championship is symbolic of their efforts in recent seasons. Sitting in seventh place, just outside the play-off positions, they are once again looking up rather than down but few fans at Elland Road are certain where they will finish come May.
Their trip to Turf Moor this weekend should prove a tough test for the Yorkshire outfit, but close analysis of their performances to date suggest that their odds of 19/10 to win could represent a good bet.
As the fifth most offensive team in the Championship, having scored 26 goals at an average of 1.63 per game, Leeds clearly possess real threat up front and Burnley manager Eddie Howe will need to ensure that the Clarets do not gift prolific strikers such as Ross McCormack real goalscoring opportunities.
Yet punters should indeed expect a high-scoring game. Half of all of Burnley’s home games this season have involved 4 or more goals – indeed their previous two games have ended 3-1 – and Leeds’ own away record reads exactly the same.
New customers to bwin should therefore give serious consideration to backing more than 3.5 goals to be scored in the match at 31/20. Using the free £25 bet on offer this way would secure £63.75 winnings if successful.
It would also come as little surprise if most of these goals came from the away side in the second half.
Fifteen of Leeds’ 26 league goals have been scored in the second half, including decisive last-minute goals against Portsmouth, Brighton and West Ham.
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Indeed, if the Championship was based on second-half performances alone, they would be sitting in a comfortable second place.
Burnley, on the other hand, have conceded the majority of their goals in the second half so far this season.
A quick glance at the outcome of this fixture last season doesn’t bode well for the Lancashire side either: they squandered a 2-0 lead at half time and lost 3-2.
It would come as no surprise, then, if Leeds were to score more goals in the second half than the first, which can be backed at a tempting 3/2, while Simon Grayson’s men are at 39/20 to win the final 45 minutes.
So while Burnley may hope that the likes of Charlie Austin and Ross Wallace perform well enough to justify their 27/20 odds for winning, performances so far this season suggest that it will be Leeds who are triumphant at the weekend.
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