Nick Barmby’s Hull City host Peterborough United in the 37-year-old’s first game since being given the manager’s job on a permanent basis.
The hosts, who currently occupy a play-off position in the Championship, won five and lost five of their league games with the former England international as caretaker boss.
However, they are on a run of three straight league defeats, having lost 1-0 to Derby County, Burnley and Middlesbrough.
Despite having nothing to show for it, Barmby will be enthused with his team’s efforts in those matches, as they created more chances than their opponents in each one, as well as largely enjoying the majority of possession.
At 7/10, Hull are odds-on favourites to win on Saturday, while draw is at 5/2 and the visitors are generously priced at 15/4.
Interestingly, only one team has scored in each of [Hull’s last five league matches], so backing ‘No’ in the ‘Will both teams score in the match?’ market at odds of 87/100 looks another reasonable short-priced play.
Games involving Peterborough have averaged 3.4 goals already this season – the highest in the division – plus only Cardiff City have failed to score in fewer games.
However, their goal difference stands at just three, which suggests why they find themselves in the lower half of the table.
Having said that, only a 94th-minute equaliser from the penalty spot denied them all three points last time out against Birmingham.
That draw against the Blues at London Road does mean Posh are without a league defeat since the 4-3 loss to Barnsley at the start of December.
And somewhat out of character, all five matches in Peterborough’s unbeaten run have featured two or fewer goals as boss Darren Ferguson has made keeping the back door shut his main priority.
When you consider that Hull’s last five matches in the Championship have also contained fewer than three goals, backing under 2.5 goals in this one at 83/100 could well pay off.
Interestingly, only one team has scored in each of those five fixtures involving the Tigers, so backing ‘No’ in the ‘Will both teams score in the match?’ market at odds of 87/100 looks another reasonable short-priced play.
But of course, seasoned football betting fans know that all runs have to end at some point and there’s money to be made if you believe the floodgates may well re-open at the KC Stadium.
The offer of 19/4 for there to be five or more goals in the game – an eventuality which has occurred in two of the last five meetings between the sides – looks the best option at the other end of the scale.
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