Anyone who has ever been to Millwall’s ground will understand why the Lions’ home is called The Den.
Tight, compact and intimidating, it can be a hostile place for visiting teams and Barnsley’s journey from South Yorkshire to south London could well be a fruitless one.
Last season, newly-promoted Millwall were in contention for a place in the Championship play-offs until the final few weeks of the season.
This promotion push was built upon some solid home form and a particularly miserly defence, with the Lions boasting the fourth best home defensive record in the division.
Barnsley, meanwhile, were woeful away from Oakwell, managing just three away wins all season. So if you are looking to bet on a result in 90 minutes, it has to be the home win, offered at 3/5.
But if you look at the Lions’ results this season, there could be even more value to be had by backing the 11/10 on offer for them to be winning at half-time.
In five of the six league and cup games they have played so far, Millwall have been leading at the break.
Against a Barnsley team who do not travel well – and who last season lost all five of the matches they played in London – this looks like it could be an excellent bet.
Do not, however, expect a goal-fest at The Den. Millwall are not particularly noted for being high scorers and the loss of last season’s top scorer Steve Morison, as well as all-time leading scorer Neil Harris, means this season they might struggle to find the net.
Nevertheless, they should be comfortable on Saturday afternoon, where a 2-0 home win is priced at 25/4 and looks as decent a bet as any in the correct score market.
If you heed my advice on goals being at a premium, then take a chance on two goals exactly being scored in the match, which is available at a tempting 13/5.
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