It’s a cliché Alan Shearer and company trot out every Saturday night: “Win your home games and you’ll be alright.”
But looking at the early Championship table, for once they may be on to something. It may not be revelatory but leaders Crystal Palace, third-placed Cardiff City and playoff-chasing Burnley have all built their charge on delivering home goals galore.
The latter two are just shy of 21 home goals, so if this was bwin blackjack I’d stick – but for an over 2.5 goals treble, I’m twisting and saying they’ll hit the magic number against Middlesbrough and Charlton Athletic respectively this weekend.
Meanwhile, Palace, who already have 21 goals to their name at Selhurst Park, can ‘go bust’ when Derby County make the trip to south London.
New customers using the free £20 bet available when registering with bwin stand to win £87.12 if this trio of games all produce three or more goals – and here’s why I think they will.
Over 2.5 goals in Crystal Palace v Derby @ 13/20
A change of manager has seemingly done nothing to derail Palace’s surprise promotion charge.
They’ve stormed to the top of table on the back of a 13-game unbeaten run and being the only side to score in every game this season.
Their free-scoring approach is unlikely to change under Ian Holloway, especially against a Derby team who’ve been involved in 11 three-goal-plus games themselves.
Over 2.5 goals in Cardiff v Middlesbrough @ 13/20
The biggest game in the Championship this weekend could also turn out to be one of the most entertaining.
Second-placed Boro have stormed past Cardiff into the automatic spots with six wins out of seven, scoring 15 goals in the process.
It has taken such sensational form from Boro (and Palace) to knock Cardiff off the top, as Malky Mackay’s team have been no slouches themselves in notching 18 home goals.
Over 2.5 goals in Burnley v Charlton @ 3/5
While Palace and Cardiff have built their promotion pushes on the back of scoring lots as a team, Burnley’s success this season has been a one-man show.
A goal against Leeds in the Clarets’ last home game put Charlie Austin on to 20 for the season, which is more than four Championship teams have managed on their own and just two less than visitors Charlton.
With an impressive 2-0 win at Bristol City last weekend, Chris Powell’s side will fancy their chances of keeping pace with Austin as Burnley have one of the division’s leakiest defences, conceding nearly two goals a game.