If Leeds are to have any chance of ending their top-flight sabbatical, then they will need to stick together a decent sequence of results over the next few games.
Just one Championship win from their last five games means the Elland Road club are languishing in tenth spot – five points adrift of Middlesbrough in the final play-off position.
Over the course of the season Leeds haven’t convinced many they were good enough to climb out of this division and now is hardly the right time to be proving the doubters right.
Ironically, their slump in form has coincided with promotion expert Neil Warnock taking the reins and abruptly steering them clear of any chance of the top seven.
Since Warnock has been in the hot seat, Leeds have drawn three and won one of five, scoring just three times, so resurgent Nottingham Forest will not necessarily be welcomed with open arms into West Yorkshire.
A month ago, Forest were in dire relegation worries with things going from bad to worse. Swapping Steves in the form of McClaren to Cotterill did the square route of nothing and the old familiar adage that “you’re never too good to go down” was once again ringing around the City Ground.
However, three wins and a draw from their last six has elevated Forest out of the bottom three, giving them a vital four-point cushion from the dreaded drop-zone.
However, despite the differences in form, bwin’s 3Way football market still has Leeds as big 17/20 favourites, with the draw at 12/5 and Forest well out at 31/10.
The fact that Forest have chalked up just two away Championship wins in their last ten outings will have something to do with those prices, but Leeds have lost three and drawn one of their last five at home.
Indeed, Leeds have been a mixed bag on their patch all year, winning under half of their games, but Forest trump that with ten away defeats from 17.
Both sides seem averse to the draw, with Forest’s five this season in the league comfortably the lowest of any side, while only three of Leeds’ 18 home games have ended all square.
It’s dangerous to go off those statistics given the differing levels of form and confidence of these two and although an away victory may be unlikely, Forest are certainly playing well enough – and Leeds poorly enough – to warrant a couple of quid on the 12/5 draw and in particular, the 1-1 at 21/4.
Punters joining bwin.com get a free £25 bet and using it on a 1-1 draw will return £156.25 if successful.
If you are going to plump for a winner, it’s probably wise to go with Leeds. They are the better team of the two and soon enough Warnock will weave his magic, so if you are looking for Leeds, the hosts with under 3.5 goals is bang on at 31/20.
Recommended bet: Leeds and Forest to draw 1-1 @ 21/4
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