Wolverhampton Wanderers welcome Birmingham City in front of the Sky cameras on Saturday tea-time with both sides desperately in need of a win – and not just to earn local bragging rights.
The two former Premier League outfits are both struggling in the lower reaches of the Championship and are separated by just one point and two places.
And while the relegation alarm bells are not exactly ringing as the bottom six below them become slightly cut adrift, a continuation of a poor run from either could see them dragged into the scrap come the latter part of the season.
Wolves won their last match against a useless Bristol City side but before that had gone nine games without a win, a run stretching back to early October.
Defeats by Nottingham Forest and Millwall in their last two home matches do nothing to encourage me to back them here and three draws and three defeats in their last six at Molineux make the 23/20 quote about Stale Solbakken’s men even less appealing.
Birmingham are the 23/10 outsiders (the draw is an 11/5 chance) but Blues have been the model of inconsistency this term and are tough to predict from one week to the next – they score plenty of goals but also concede their fair share.
An impressive 3-2 win at home against Middlesbrough last week followed a run of four without a win, but on the road, Lee Clark’s men have only lost two of eight, drawing four.
In fact, Birmingham have played out 3-2 results three times in their last four league matches (ridiculous, right?) so let’s look at backing a goal-fuelled match here.
Over 2.5 goals won’t be getting anyone rich at 3/4, but over 3.5 goals is at 7/4 and that may well be worth taking a chance on.
Punters registering with bwin can claim a free £20 bet and using this to back over 3.5 goals would return a cool £55 if successful.
Alternatively, if you want to apply the same logic to find a correct score punt at massive odds, the 2-2 draw can be backed at 21/2 and could potentially turn that £20 stake into £230 just in time for Christmas.
However, I will be playing it much safer by taking that 7/4 on Wolves and Birmingham serving up an entertaining encounter which features four or more goals.