It’s the most lucrative one-off match in club football, the £100m-plus challenge, the last chance for Premier League promised land propulsion. Yes, it’s the Championship play-off final between Derby and QPR!
In honour of one of the beautiful game’s most cliche-ridden clashes, we’ve had a trawl through the division’s history of play-off finals to bring you the best bets, but Harry Redknapp and co may be advised to look away now as the omens aren’t good.
Derby to be promoted @ 3/4
The R’s will have to overcome a huge weight of recent history if they’re to down Derby, as the fourth-placed side in the second-tier haven’t been promoted from the play-offs in the last 15 renewals.
To make matters worse for Redknapp, the third-place finishers have gone up five times in the last decade, and only two teams have ever come down from the top flight and gone back up through the play-offs the following season.
QPR were relegated last term and finished fourth, meaning they’re doomed, so get on a Steve McClaren Premier League return with the third-place Rams.
Derby to win 1-0 @ 23/4
Five of the last ten play-off finals have been settled by said scoreline, but for those not yet convinced that McClaren’s 2014/15 destiny lies in the top flight, exactly one goal in the match can be backed at a tidy price of 16/5.
Both Teams To Score – No @ 9/10
Seven of the last ten second-tier showpieces have seen at least one side fail to register, with last season’s clash between Crystal Palace and Watford settled by a single extra-time strike.
Under 3.5 yellow cards @ 7/5
Six of the last ten finals have seen at least four yellow cards brandished and that eventuality can be backed here at 1/2, but with the four that saw three or less all coming since 2008, the under’s price represents far the better value.