Nigel Clough, football accumulator tips

Burton v Derby: Brewers can land the odds against goal-shy Rams

Last Result:

Burton 0-5 Liverpool (Divock Origi (1st goalscorer), Roberto Firmino, Tom Naylor (OG) Daniel Sturridge (2)

Derby 1-1 Carlisle (Darren Bent (1st goalscorer) – Mike Jones)

Kick Off: 19:45, 26/08/16

Stadium: Pirelli Stadium

Head-to-heads: No previous competitive meetings


Burton: Out – None

Doubtful –  John Mousinho

Derby: Out – George Thorne, Craig Forsyth

Doubtful – None

Recommended Bets:

  • Burton to win @ 12/5
  • Under 2.5 goals @ 67/100
  • Both teams to score – No @ 83/100

Key Stats:

  • Burton have scored at least twice in four of their five matches against non-Premier-League opposition this term.
  • Derby’s 1-1 draw with Carlisle last time out was the first of their six games this season in which both teams scored.


A Look at Burton’s Betting Odds

Thrashed by EFL Cup foes Liverpool in midweek they may have been, but Albion manager Nigel Clough was quick to tell the BBC that his side’s focus had always been on their first ever league meeting with local rivals Derby County.

The Burton v Derby betting sizes up the hosts as 12/5 underdogs, but the regularity with which they’ve been finding the net (against the Anfield club aside) this term, suggests they have the goal power to upset the odds.

Blackburn were tapped for two on the road in their last Championship outing, while the Brewers put three past 2015/16’s beaten play-off finalists Sheffield Wednesday last time they had a league engagement at the Pirelli.

Tom Naylor (three), Jackson Irvine and Lloyd Dyer (two each) have been chief among the net-bulgers thus far and their first goalscorer odds will be live on on the day of the game – Irvine has struck in his last two outings at second-tier level.

A Look at Derby’s Betting Odds

Having steered Leicester to the Championship title in 2013/14 and laid down the coaching and playing foundations for the Foxes’ subsequent Premier League title win, the early days of Nigel Pearson’s Pride Park tenure might have been expected to be going slightly more fruitfully.

Nigel Pearson strolls the pitch

The Rams have only lost once in their first six games, but they’ve also only won twice, with a lack of goals the chief culprit – so far they’ve netted a single goal across their first four divisional dalliances.

Derby not to score odds look interesting at 13/5 as a result, while their defensive strength – three concessions in their six games so far – makes betting under 2.5 goals v Burton at 67/100 look a no brainer.

Pearson will doubtless recall first-choice trio Will Hughes, Tom Ince and Chris Martin to the line-up after they were omitted from the XI for the EFL Cup clash with Carlisle, yet all were present for County’s most recent goalless draw against Aston Villa and thus cannot necessarily be relied upon to revive their attacking fortunes.