Championship form side Derby Country go to Burnley on Saturday looking to continue an excellent recent run that has seen them win their last five matches.
The hosts are just a point and two places behind the Rams in the Championship table, so a victory for either side could propel them into the playoff places.
Eddie Howe’s side are priced at 17/20 in bwin’s 3Way football betting market, the draw is at 12/5 and Derby are a 31/10 chance.
Burnley fought out an impressive 2-0 win at high-flying Middlesbrough last weekend and they have won three of their last four home league matches without conceding, scoring eight times. Bwin make them an 11/5 shot to win to nil again here.
Derby sit on top of the Championship form table thanks to five league wins in six games, but their recent success has been based on solid rearguard actions.
All five of their wins have come by one goal (three 1-0 and two 2-1 victories) and if you add their recent 1-0 FA Cup win over Crystal Palace to that then there is certainly a pattern to their performances.
With that in mind, if you fancy a Derby win there is some value in backing them to win by one goal at 9/2 (back the draw in the Burnley 1-0 handicap market).
But given the recent good form of these two sides, the chances are they will cancel each other out and have to settle for a point, so the draw at 12/5 could offer the best value in this one.
New bwin customers can use their free £25 bet for registering on this selection and will win £85 if there is nothing to separate the two sides come the final whistle.
It is also worth noting that three or more goals have been scored just twice in Burnley’s last six matches, while only two of Derby’s last eight have contained over 2.5 goals, making the unders market the place to be in this one.
Under 2.5 goals is an 83/100 shot and under 1.5 goals can be backed at 23/10. These stats also bring the correct scores into play, with a 1-0 Derby win available at 21/2, a 1-0 win for Burnley at 25/4 and the 1-1 draw at 21/4.
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